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My view on what's going on in the financial markets and the global economy, and a few other things that might interest me from time to time.
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Four tech giants to report earnings: MSFT, META, AMZN and AAPL
Four of the infamous tech giants in the Mag & report earnings today and tomorrow: MSFT, META, AMZN and AAPL. Risk is downside asymmetrical.
tim@emorningcoffee.com
Apr 30, 20253 min read
Week ended April 25, 2025: earnings, whining and wining
This is the early edition of the weekly, covering earnings (TSLA and GOOG), Trump capitulation (again) and 2024 en primeur Bordeaux campaign
tim@emorningcoffee.com
Apr 25, 20258 min read
Mag 7 stocks, earnings, "hands off" the Fed and Jeffrey Sachs at ADF
Quick look to start the week with earnings, including TSLA and GOOG, Jeffrey Sachs explaining poor Trump policies and the Fed's independence
tim@emorningcoffee.com
Apr 22, 20254 min read
Week ended April 18, 2025
There will be no "Fed put" according to Mr Powell, which rattled markets and evoked a response from Mr Trump. US equities slumped again.
tim@emorningcoffee.com
Apr 19, 20255 min read
Week ended April 11, 2025: Bonds speak the truth
We're up, we're down, we're all around! US stocks remain volatile but ended higher. Bonds are the "adult in the room" though.
tim@emorningcoffee.com
Apr 12, 20256 min read
Portfolio update: 1Q2025
The first quarter was actually quite decent for me, although the start to April has been horrible since there is nowhere to hide.
tim@emorningcoffee.com
Apr 9, 20256 min read
Musings to start the week
Down we go in a self-inflicted mess caused by Mr Trump's errant tariff policy. I talk about trade and budget deficits, and the week ahead.
tim@emorningcoffee.com
Apr 7, 20255 min read
Week ended April 4, 2025: stocks hammered following Trump tariff announcement
The announcement of tariffs by President Trump on Weds made a nervous market completely puke, with stocks getting hammered.
tim@emorningcoffee.com
Apr 5, 20255 min read
Mag 7 stocks: a tough 1Q2025 (and now "on sale"?)
This is a very brief update for the Mag 7 stocks for 1Q2025, all of which were down, several sharply. It is not getting better either!
tim@emorningcoffee.com
Apr 3, 20259 min read
First quarter 2025 review of markets
The 1Q2025 is in the bag, not an easy quarter. US stocks performed poorly, but gold and European stocks did well. Treasuries also did ok.
tim@emorningcoffee.com
Mar 31, 20252 min read
Week ended March 28, 2025: risk markets falter after more tariffs
Mr Trump's announcement of 25% auto tariffs followed by others in the queue sent stocks spiralling down, and haven assets like gold higher.
tim@emorningcoffee.com
Mar 28, 20256 min read
Week ended March 21, 2025: US stocks eke out gains
Most focus this week was on the FOMC decision, which was initially viewed as slightly dovish before reality sat in. Markets were mixed.
tim@emorningcoffee.com
Mar 22, 20255 min read
Week ended March 14, 2025: markets volatile (again)
The sell-off in global equities is getting more painful, as investors continue to shun risk and pile into safe haven assets. What makes...
tim@emorningcoffee.com
Mar 15, 20255 min read
Week ended Mar 7, 2025: markets continue to spiral down
Tariffs followed by partial capitulation, a strategic crypto reserve, and further erosion in markets summed up another tumultuous week.
tim@emorningcoffee.com
Mar 7, 20255 min read
Week ended Feb 28, 2025: investors are "risk off"
Market volatility is increasing due to erratic US government policies. Bonds, gold, and foreign stocks are the place to hide.
tim@emorningcoffee.com
Mar 1, 20256 min read
Week ended Feb 21, 2025: stocks slip and bonds improve
For investors, it is not easy staying focused these days on the substantive economic and business data that matter for your portfolio....
tim@emorningcoffee.com
Feb 21, 20256 min read
Week ended Feb 14, 2025: markets slightly better
Inflation continues to confound, although investors largely shook it off. Market volatility remains elevated but stocks better WoW.
tim@emorningcoffee.com
Feb 14, 20254 min read
Week ended Feb 7, 2025: markets react to tariff threats, earnings and jobs
Last week was the second week running that the start of the week was characterised by turmoil, this time caused by tariff threats. Mr...
tim@emorningcoffee.com
Feb 8, 20255 min read
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