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My view on what's going on in the financial markets and the global economy, and a few other things that might interest me from time to time.

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Four tech giants to report earnings: MSFT, META, AMZN and AAPL
Four of the infamous tech giants in the Mag & report earnings today and tomorrow: MSFT, META, AMZN and AAPL. Risk is downside asymmetrical.

tim@emorningcoffee.com
Apr 303 min read
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Mag 7 stocks: a tough 1Q2025 (and now "on sale"?)
This is a very brief update for the Mag 7 stocks for 1Q2025, all of which were down, several sharply. It is not getting better either!

tim@emorningcoffee.com
Apr 39 min read
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A quick look at MicroStrategy (MSTR)
MicroStrategy (MSTR) has had an amazing run since it adopted its Bitcoin accumulation strategy in Aug 2020. Has it run too far too fast?

tim@emorningcoffee.com
Nov 27, 202411 min read
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Anti-obesity medications: part 3, valuations of LLY and NVO
This is the 3rd and final article focused on anti-obesity drugs. It looks at valuations of shares of the two giants in this biz, LLY & NVO.

tim@emorningcoffee.com
Mar 18, 20248 min read
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Anti-obesity medications part 2: the duopoly of Eli Lilly and Novo Nordisk
Eli Lilly (LLY) and Novo Nordisk (NVO) have been large players for decades in the market for diabetes medications and are currently...

tim@emorningcoffee.com
Mar 14, 20247 min read
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Anti-obesity medications part 1: the market for anti-obesity drugs
This article is being published in instalments, of which this is the first, for context. INTRODUCTION Two macrotrends have been drivers...

tim@emorningcoffee.com
Mar 12, 20247 min read
135
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Berkshire Hathaway: 2023 results and the path forward
Berkshire Hathaway released its FY earnings on Sat. As always, there are plenty of juicy nuggets to digest.

tim@emorningcoffee.com
Feb 27, 20249 min read
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Revisiting semi-conductors
This article takes a quick look at the semi-conductor value-chain, including chip designers, fabricators and chip machinery makers.

tim@emorningcoffee.com
Feb 20, 20245 min read
85
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The end of Silicon Valley Bank
Silicon Valley Bank went from fine to dead in less than 48 hours. Why and how? Could it have been prevented? What now?

tim@emorningcoffee.com
Mar 13, 202312 min read
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