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My view on what's going on in the financial markets and the global economy, and a few other things that might interest me from time to time.

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Portfolio update: 2Q2026
This article takes a look at my portfolio performance in the second quarter 2026.

tim@emorningcoffee.com
5 days ago10 min read
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Semi-conductors: the value chain and exploring the opportunity
This article looks at the semi-conductor value chain and explores the opportunities for investors. It's not easy to evaluate many of the companies, and the valuations are stretched already.

tim@emorningcoffee.com
Jun 258 min read
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Stocks - do they always go up?
This article is the third update of an article I originally penned in March 2022, examining the long-term return of US stocks. The short answer to the question "do stocks always go up" is a resounding "yes", so long as the holding period is long.

tim@emorningcoffee.com
Apr 2112 min read
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Portfolio update: 1Q2026
This is an update of my 1Q2026 portfolio performance. My all-in return was nil, which was not disappointing (to me at least) given the performance of assets prices in March, following the beginning of the US-Israel war against Iran.

tim@emorningcoffee.com
Apr 167 min read
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Portfolio update: year-end 2025
This article is an update of my personal portfolio at year-end 2025. My blended full-year return for 2025 across my portfolio (excluding alternative assets) was 17.1%. It helped being in the right names, a combination of a bit of skill and experience, and a lot of luck.

tim@emorningcoffee.com
Jan 226 min read
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Record high after record high....what to do?
As risk markets surge, especially US stocks (but also corporate bonds), it's hard not to scratch your head and ask how long this can carry on? I have no idea, but I think the end might be near. In the meantime, I stick to my standard investment approach.

tim@emorningcoffee.com
Sep 18, 20256 min read
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Summary of 2024 in tables
This article contains a summary of full-year 2024 performance of the indices and assets tracked by EMC, plus historical data, too.

tim@emorningcoffee.com
Jan 3, 20251 min read
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2024 market and asset performance vs my expectations: how'd I do?
I "guessed" at how markets would perform in 2024 last year at this time. Some I got right, some I got wrong, not different from the pros.

tim@emorningcoffee.com
Dec 31, 20248 min read
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Portfolio update: 3Q2024
This is the update of my personal portfolio for the most recent quarter ended September 30, 2024.

tim@emorningcoffee.com
Oct 9, 20249 min read
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