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My view on what's going on in the financial markets and the global economy, and a few other things that might interest me from time to time.

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Portfolio update: 3Q2025
This is an update of my personal portfolio for the third quarter and YtD. To say the market has been cooperative since the poorly-received "Liberation Day" blanket tariffs would be the mother of all understatements. It wasn't hard – just be long, nearly anything!

tim@emorningcoffee.com
Oct 275 min read
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Record high after record high....what to do?
As risk markets surge, especially US stocks (but also corporate bonds), it's hard not to scratch your head and ask how long this can carry on? I have no idea, but I think the end might be near. In the meantime, I stick to my standard investment approach.

tim@emorningcoffee.com
Sep 186 min read
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Portfolio update: 2Q2025
This article is an update of my personal portfolio at the end of 1H2025 (June 30, 2025). To say it was a volatile quarter is the mother of all understatements. Fortunately, I came out OK thanks to the fact that investors – especially in the bond market – provided guardrails for the nutty economic policies of Mr Trump. I saw the train wreck coming, but I failed to anticipate the shockingly fast recovery. You can read the gory details in this article.

tim@emorningcoffee.com
Jul 229 min read
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Summary of 2024 in tables
This article contains a summary of full-year 2024 performance of the indices and assets tracked by EMC, plus historical data, too.

tim@emorningcoffee.com
Jan 31 min read
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2024 market and asset performance vs my expectations: how'd I do?
I "guessed" at how markets would perform in 2024 last year at this time. Some I got right, some I got wrong, not different from the pros.

tim@emorningcoffee.com
Dec 31, 20248 min read
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Portfolio update: 3Q2024
This is the update of my personal portfolio for the most recent quarter ended September 30, 2024.Â

tim@emorningcoffee.com
Oct 9, 20249 min read
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Portfolio update: 1H2024
This is an update of my personal portfolio performance in 2Q2024 and 1H2024, good on the surface but worse than the indices would suggest.

tim@emorningcoffee.com
Jul 24, 20248 min read
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Is fine wine a good investment?
The 2024 en primeur campaign for Bordeaux is just starting. But is fine wine really a good investment? I don't think so anymore.

tim@emorningcoffee.com
May 2, 202414 min read
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Portfolio update: 1Q2024
This is an update about my personal portfolio during and at the end of 1Q2024. It also discusses performance which I consider disappointing.

tim@emorningcoffee.com
Apr 10, 20248 min read
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