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My view on what's going on in the financial markets and the global economy, and a few other things that might interest me from time to time.

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The "new" Berkshire and Michael Burry: investment philosophies and lessons
This article looks at the investment philosophies of two companies – Berkshire Hathaway (BRK) and Michael Burry's Scion Asset Management. What ties them together is their focus on value, although the change in leadership at Berkshire is raising some concerns that Berkshire's decades-old value philosophy might be changing.

tim@emorningcoffee.com
Aug 1815 min read


Update: semi-conductor and hyper-scaler stocks, plus SpaceX
This article provides an early-week update on the highly volatile and under-pressure semi-conductor sector, as well as the Mag 7 stocks with AAPL, AMZN, META and MSFT reporting earnings this week. It also looks at SpaceX (SPCX), which is well below its IPO price and falling like a stone.

tim@emorningcoffee.com
Jul 285 min read


Portfolio update: 2Q2026
This article takes a look at my portfolio performance in the second quarter 2026.

tim@emorningcoffee.com
Jul 2210 min read


Semi-conductors: the value chain and exploring the opportunity
This article looks at the semi-conductor value chain and explores the opportunities for investors. It's not easy to evaluate many of the companies, and the valuations are stretched already.

tim@emorningcoffee.com
Jun 258 min read


Stocks - do they always go up?
This article is the third update of an article I originally penned in March 2022, examining the long-term return of US stocks. The short answer to the question "do stocks always go up" is a resounding "yes", so long as the holding period is long.

tim@emorningcoffee.com
Apr 2112 min read


Portfolio update: 1Q2026
This is an update of my 1Q2026 portfolio performance. My all-in return was nil, which was not disappointing (to me at least) given the performance of assets prices in March, following the beginning of the US-Israel war against Iran.

tim@emorningcoffee.com
Apr 167 min read


Portfolio update: year-end 2025
This article is an update of my personal portfolio at year-end 2025. My blended full-year return for 2025 across my portfolio (excluding alternative assets) was 17.1%. It helped being in the right names, a combination of a bit of skill and experience, and a lot of luck.

tim@emorningcoffee.com
Jan 226 min read


Record high after record high....what to do?
As risk markets surge, especially US stocks (but also corporate bonds), it's hard not to scratch your head and ask how long this can carry on? I have no idea, but I think the end might be near. In the meantime, I stick to my standard investment approach.

tim@emorningcoffee.com
Sep 18, 20256 min read


Summary of 2024 in tables
This article contains a summary of full-year 2024 performance of the indices and assets tracked by EMC, plus historical data, too.

tim@emorningcoffee.com
Jan 3, 20251 min read
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