top of page
Home: Welcome
My view on what's going on in the financial markets and the global economy, and a few other things that might interest me from time to time.

Search


Portfolio update: 3Q2025
This is an update of my personal portfolio for the third quarter and YtD. To say the market has been cooperative since the poorly-received "Liberation Day" blanket tariffs would be the mother of all understatements. It wasn't hard – just be long, nearly anything!

tim@emorningcoffee.com
Oct 275 min read
Â
Â
Â


What might A.I. mean for investors?
I am not expert in artificial intelligence, although I do have a basic grasp of its expected benefits balanced by the possible social implications. However, this article focuses on A.I. from an investor's perspective, since the stocks of companies that can attach themselves even loosely to the A.I. narrative have taken off like a rocket.

tim@emorningcoffee.com
Oct 208 min read
Â
Â
Â


Record high after record high....what to do?
As risk markets surge, especially US stocks (but also corporate bonds), it's hard not to scratch your head and ask how long this can carry on? I have no idea, but I think the end might be near. In the meantime, I stick to my standard investment approach.

tim@emorningcoffee.com
Sep 186 min read
Â
Â
Â


First half 2025: indices and market update
This article contains tables and commentary regarding the rather volatile but ultimately positive first half of 2025.

tim@emorningcoffee.com
Jul 46 min read
Â
Â
Â


Balance of payments, trade and tariffs
The week started with the Trump Administration announcing tariffs on Mexico, Canada and China, the first two of which were quickly rescinded

tim@emorningcoffee.com
Feb 69 min read
Â
Â
Â


Summary of 2024 in tables
This article contains a summary of full-year 2024 performance of the indices and assets tracked by EMC, plus historical data, too.

tim@emorningcoffee.com
Jan 31 min read
Â
Â
Â


2024 market and asset performance vs my expectations: how'd I do?
I "guessed" at how markets would perform in 2024 last year at this time. Some I got right, some I got wrong, not different from the pros.

tim@emorningcoffee.com
Dec 31, 20248 min read
Â
Â
Â


Does the "Trump rally" have legs?
Some stocks that clearly "track" President-elect Trump's varied campaign promises have rallied hard, including TSLA, BTC, COIN and KRE.

tim@emorningcoffee.com
Nov 12, 20245 min read
Â
Â
Â


Midweek update: Apple, CPI/FOMC, GME
We have some US data coming that might matter today (CPI), but the FOMC will sit tight (also today). Discusses Apple's run and GameStop.

tim@emorningcoffee.com
Jun 12, 20247 min read
Â
Â
Â
Home: Blog2
bottom of page


