top of page
Home: Welcome
My view on what's going on in the financial markets and the global economy, and a few other things that might interest me from time to time.
Search
Week ended Feb 2, 2024: Earnings, Fed and US jobs
Last week dominated by five "Mag 7" companies that reported earnings (mixed bag), Fed and BoE monetary policy meetings, and economic data.
tim@emorningcoffee.com
Feb 3, 20246 min read
Week ended Jan 26, 2024: US data, China, Tesla, central bank decisions
Lots of US economic data last week that pushed the S&P 500 to another record level. UST yields flattish. Chinese equities better. Read on
tim@emorningcoffee.com
Jan 27, 20243 min read
Week ended Jan 19, 2024: S&P 500 closes at record high
The S&P 500 closed at a record high. European and EM stocks slumped. USTs also got hammered. Davos and economic data drove sentiment.
tim@emorningcoffee.com
Jan 20, 20244 min read
Week ended January 12, 2024: focus on Bitcoin ETFs
Last week was about US inflation data and the approval of Bitcoin ETFs. CPI was slightly hot, and PPI was weak, sending yields lower.
tim@emorningcoffee.com
Jan 13, 20244 min read
Week ended Jan 5, 2024
Sloppy start to the new year in most traditional asset markets. Credit also weakened, and the USD strengthened. Off we go!
tim@emorningcoffee.com
Jan 7, 20243 min read
Week ended Dec 29, 2023: end of year (short) edition
We ended the year very much along the themes that drove 4Q23. Equities and government bonds were better bid across the board. 2024??
tim@emorningcoffee.com
Dec 30, 20233 min read
Week ended Dec 22, 2023: Mixed data, markets continue rally
Economic data remains mixed, but it is clear inflation is slowing in the US and Europe. Investors are all-in on a faster pivot, markets up.
tim@emorningcoffee.com
Dec 23, 20235 min read
Week ended Dec 15, 2023: Fed serves up a cream puff
The Fed breaks ranks for some reason and suggests a nearer-than-expected pivot which sent stocks and bonds soaring.
tim@emorningcoffee.com
Dec 16, 20237 min read
Week ended Dec 8, 2023: eyes on central bank policy meetings
It was a week of mixed economic news in the US, with a strong labor market clobbering the short end of the UST curve. Equities didn't care.
tim@emorningcoffee.com
Dec 9, 20236 min read
Week ended Dec 1, 2023: all systems go (for now)
There was enough sad news this week, but it certainly didn’t make a dent in sentiment as stocks and bonds continue to rally hard.
tim@emorningcoffee.com
Dec 2, 20238 min read
Week ended Nov 24, 2023: equities grind higher
Although the advance in equities slowed, it certainly did not stop even as yields pushed higher off of better-than-expected PMI data.
tim@emorningcoffee.com
Nov 25, 20235 min read
Week ended Nov 17, 2023: stocks and bonds rally
Stocks and bonds rallied hard this week, with stocks first getting a boost from better-than-expected earnings, and then by disinflation data
tim@emorningcoffee.com
Nov 18, 20238 min read
Week ended Nov 10, 2023
US stocks were stopped in their tracks by higher yields on Thurs (poor 30y UST auction), but resumed their upward trajectory the next day.
tim@emorningcoffee.com
Nov 12, 20236 min read
Week ended Nov 3, 2023: stocks and bonds rally hard
Stocks and bonds were on fire this week, a rare occurrence recently. "Bad news is good news" resonated as data showed a slowing US economy
tim@emorningcoffee.com
Nov 4, 20236 min read
Week ended Oct 27, 2023: stocks sink
4 big tech names report beats, but investors dig deeper and didn't love everything they saw. General downdraft hammered equities anyhow,
tim@emorningcoffee.com
Oct 28, 20235 min read
Week ended October 20, 2023: yields spike
Yields spiked this week, one of several factors leading to a decisive risk-off feeling as equities tanked and gold roared forward.
tim@emorningcoffee.com
Oct 21, 20235 min read
Week ended October 13, 2023: reality of war sets in
A deferred reaction to war in the Middle East meant that equities rallied and bonds sold off in the first half of the week, but then......
tim@emorningcoffee.com
Oct 14, 20233 min read
Week ended Oct 6, 2023: markets remain fragile
Markets feeling increasingly fragile as UST yields head higher and equities bounce around. Uncertainty and risks abound. Not feelin' it!
tim@emorningcoffee.com
Oct 7, 20237 min read
Home: Blog2
bottom of page