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My view on what's going on in the financial markets and the global economy, and a few other things that might interest me from time to time.

Week ended Jan 19, 2024: S&P 500 closes at record high

The S&P 500 closed at a record high. European and EM stocks slumped. USTs also got hammered. Davos and economic data drove sentiment.

tim@emorningcoffee.com

Jan 20, 20244 min read

Last week was about US inflation data and the approval of Bitcoin ETFs. CPI was slightly hot, and PPI was weak, sending yields lower.

tim@emorningcoffee.com

Jan 13, 20244 min read

Economic data remains mixed, but it is clear inflation is slowing in the US and Europe. Investors are all-in on a faster pivot, markets up.

tim@emorningcoffee.com

Dec 23, 20235 min read

There was enough sad news this week, but it certainly didn’t make a dent in sentiment as stocks and bonds continue to rally hard.

tim@emorningcoffee.com

Dec 2, 20238 min read

Although the advance in equities slowed, it certainly did not stop even as yields pushed higher off of better-than-expected PMI data.

tim@emorningcoffee.com

Nov 25, 20235 min read

Stocks and bonds rallied hard this week, with stocks first getting a boost from better-than-expected earnings, and then by disinflation data

tim@emorningcoffee.com

Nov 18, 20238 min read

Yields spiked this week, one of several factors leading to a decisive risk-off feeling as equities tanked and gold roared forward.

tim@emorningcoffee.com

Oct 21, 20235 min read

A deferred reaction to war in the Middle East meant that equities rallied and bonds sold off in the first half of the week, but then......

tim@emorningcoffee.com

Oct 14, 20233 min read

The ARM IPO (fair price), the ECB rate decision ("dovish increase") and US CPI are were relatively neutral to supportive this week.

tim@emorningcoffee.com

Sep 16, 20234 min read

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