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My view on what's going on in the financial markets and the global economy, and a few other things that might interest me from time to time.

Week ended Dec 20, 2024: FOMC projections send markets lower

Confident that another stellar year for U.S. stocks was coming to a close, investors were jolted from their complacency when the Federal...

tim@emorningcoffee.com

Dec 21, 20245 min read

Last week was mainly about the US election, which D Trump and the Republicans won in a landslide. The "Trump trade" was full on.

tim@emorningcoffee.com

Nov 9, 20249 min read

Chinese stimulus measures buoyed stocks globally, and US Treasuries were stable. Gold paused and oil fell. The Dollar was weaker.

tim@emorningcoffee.com

Sep 28, 20245 min read

Former President Trump gets nailed for 34 felony accounts, but this rallies his supporters. Markets didn't care, ending positively for May.

tim@emorningcoffee.com

Jun 1, 20245 min read

US inflation for January was hot, pushing equities bond bonds lower. International equities performed better. UK and Japan in recession.

tim@emorningcoffee.com

Feb 17, 20245 min read

Lots of US economic data last week that pushed the S&P 500 to another record level. UST yields flattish. Chinese equities better. Read on

tim@emorningcoffee.com

Jan 27, 20243 min read

The S&P 500 closed at a record high. European and EM stocks slumped. USTs also got hammered. Davos and economic data drove sentiment.

tim@emorningcoffee.com

Jan 20, 20244 min read

Last week was about US inflation data and the approval of Bitcoin ETFs. CPI was slightly hot, and PPI was weak, sending yields lower.

tim@emorningcoffee.com

Jan 13, 20244 min read

Economic data remains mixed, but it is clear inflation is slowing in the US and Europe. Investors are all-in on a faster pivot, markets up.

tim@emorningcoffee.com

Dec 23, 20235 min read

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