top of page
Home: Welcome
My view on what's going on in the financial markets and the global economy, and a few other things that might interest me from time to time.
Search
Week Ended Oct 2nd and the Week Ahead
I remain negatively biased on equities, perhaps a dissenting view but one that is based on what I see ahead in the coming weeks.
tim@emorningcoffee.com
Oct 3, 20209 min read
69
0
Week Ended Sept 25th and the Week Ahead
The confluence of factors amounts to increasing uncertainty as we head into the final quarter...my risk assessment biased towards downside
tim@emorningcoffee.com
Sep 26, 20208 min read
39
0
The U.S. Supreme Court
...the process of replacing [Ms Ginberg] ... has fallen into the political abyss of polarisation that currently characterises the U.S.
tim@emorningcoffee.com
Sep 24, 202011 min read
84
3
Week Ended September 18 and the Week Ahead
"But while the bubble lasted, it was the people who were the least informed who were the ones making the most money.” Lords of Finance
tim@emorningcoffee.com
Sep 19, 20208 min read
108
0
SoftBank, ARM, Nvidia (and Vision Fund) - not as good as it looks
The harsh reality though is that the transaction end-to-end does not result in a particularly good outcome for the company or Vision Fund.
tim@emorningcoffee.com
Sep 15, 20204 min read
46
0
Week Ended Sept 11th and the Week Ahead
The tech sector continued to wobble last week, dragging down the broader U.S. stock indices but particularly the tech-heavy NASDAQ.
tim@emorningcoffee.com
Sep 12, 20208 min read
46
0
Tech Unravels: Now What?
The unusual price action has been attributed to “Robinhooders” (pseudonym for a broader constituency meaning unsophisticated retail), the Fe
tim@emorningcoffee.com
Sep 9, 20208 min read
53
0
Week Ended Sept 4th 2020 and the Week Ahead
Valuations remain ridiculously high in equities and the disconnect between global economies and financial markets remains distorted.
tim@emorningcoffee.com
Sep 6, 20209 min read
82
0
Week Ended Aug 28th and the Week Ahead
Who would have ever thought that global economies could endure the worst economic quarter in decades if not centuries, and still have equity
tim@emorningcoffee.com
Aug 30, 20207 min read
54
1
FAANG+M: "Up, Up & Away"
FAANG+M are now 27% of the S&P 500, collectively returning 51.9% YtD, vs the rest of the index - the "S&P 494" - which is down 3.1%.
tim@emorningcoffee.com
Aug 27, 202011 min read
67
1
Week Ended Aug 21st 2020 and the Week Ahead
The financial markets showed little conviction last week, not atypical for mid-August (even with the pandemic raging). #economics #markets
tim@emorningcoffee.com
Aug 23, 20208 min read
45
0
An Asset is Worth What the Market Pays for It
This disconnect between the real economy and financial markets is so severe that many “old-time” investors.........
tim@emorningcoffee.com
Aug 21, 20201 min read
84
3
Week Ended Aug 14th and the Week Ahead
Summary Equity markets stalled in the U.S., with indices performing better last week in Europe and Japan. The S&P 500 flirted with its...
tim@emorningcoffee.com
Aug 16, 20209 min read
72
2
Robinhood, robintrack.net and Retail
Robinhood, robintrack.net (soon to be without data) and retail - the lessons and trends re stocks coming from retail. #markets #equities
tim@emorningcoffee.com
Aug 11, 20206 min read
92
1
Week Ended August 7th and the Week Ahead
Performance of key global equity indices, the corp credit market, "safe haven" assets, earnings, economies and CV19.
tim@emorningcoffee.com
Aug 9, 202010 min read
70
0
Week Ended July 31 and the Week Ahead
Gold was up 3.9% last week, closing July up 11% for the month as this “store of value” increasingly finds favour with investors.
tim@emorningcoffee.com
Aug 2, 20209 min read
91
2
Week Ended July 24th and the Week Ahead
The EU-27 agreed a €750 billion fiscal stimulus plan for the union, a milestone in its history.
tim@emorningcoffee.com
Jul 26, 20209 min read
56
0
My (Bad) Experience with Momentum Stocks
This article is somewhat personal in that it reveals my own mistakes with well-known momentum stocks like Tesla, Zoom and Netflix.
tim@emorningcoffee.com
Jul 22, 202012 min read
72
2
Home: Blog2
bottom of page