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My view on what's going on in the financial markets and the global economy, and a few other things that might interest me from time to time.
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Week Ended Oct 23rd and the Week Ahead
Perhaps the one defining feature in markets for the week was the sharp sell-off in US Treasuries, which abated slightly on Friday.
tim@emorningcoffee.com
Oct 24, 20207 min read
My Thoughts: Joe Biden, President Trump and Amy Coney Barrett
President Trump and the Republican party is portraying the ticket of Joe Biden and Kamala Harris (VP) as socialists. I don’t agree.
tim@emorningcoffee.com
Oct 23, 20209 min read
Week Ended October 16th and the Week Ahead
No sooner had I said “capitulation” (see last week’s update) than reality crept in on Tuesday and global equity and credit markets struggled
tim@emorningcoffee.com
Oct 17, 20208 min read
Week Ended Oct 9th and the Week Ahead
FOMO is carrying the day as we settle back into a momentum-driven market.
tim@emorningcoffee.com
Oct 10, 20208 min read
Week Ended Oct 2nd and the Week Ahead
I remain negatively biased on equities, perhaps a dissenting view but one that is based on what I see ahead in the coming weeks.
tim@emorningcoffee.com
Oct 3, 20209 min read
Week Ended Sept 25th and the Week Ahead
The confluence of factors amounts to increasing uncertainty as we head into the final quarter...my risk assessment biased towards downside
tim@emorningcoffee.com
Sep 26, 20208 min read
The U.S. Supreme Court
...the process of replacing [Ms Ginberg] ... has fallen into the political abyss of polarisation that currently characterises the U.S.
tim@emorningcoffee.com
Sep 24, 202011 min read
Week Ended September 18 and the Week Ahead
"But while the bubble lasted, it was the people who were the least informed who were the ones making the most money.” Lords of Finance
tim@emorningcoffee.com
Sep 19, 20208 min read
SoftBank, ARM, Nvidia (and Vision Fund) - not as good as it looks
The harsh reality though is that the transaction end-to-end does not result in a particularly good outcome for the company or Vision Fund.
tim@emorningcoffee.com
Sep 15, 20204 min read
Week Ended Sept 11th and the Week Ahead
The tech sector continued to wobble last week, dragging down the broader U.S. stock indices but particularly the tech-heavy NASDAQ.
tim@emorningcoffee.com
Sep 12, 20208 min read
Tech Unravels: Now What?
The unusual price action has been attributed to “Robinhooders” (pseudonym for a broader constituency meaning unsophisticated retail), the Fe
tim@emorningcoffee.com
Sep 9, 20208 min read
Week Ended Sept 4th 2020 and the Week Ahead
Valuations remain ridiculously high in equities and the disconnect between global economies and financial markets remains distorted.
tim@emorningcoffee.com
Sep 6, 20209 min read
Week Ended Aug 28th and the Week Ahead
Who would have ever thought that global economies could endure the worst economic quarter in decades if not centuries, and still have equity
tim@emorningcoffee.com
Aug 30, 20207 min read
FAANG+M: "Up, Up & Away"
FAANG+M are now 27% of the S&P 500, collectively returning 51.9% YtD, vs the rest of the index - the "S&P 494" - which is down 3.1%.
tim@emorningcoffee.com
Aug 27, 202011 min read
Week Ended Aug 21st 2020 and the Week Ahead
The financial markets showed little conviction last week, not atypical for mid-August (even with the pandemic raging). #economics #markets
tim@emorningcoffee.com
Aug 23, 20208 min read
An Asset is Worth What the Market Pays for It
This disconnect between the real economy and financial markets is so severe that many “old-time” investors.........
tim@emorningcoffee.com
Aug 21, 20201 min read
Week Ended Aug 14th and the Week Ahead
Summary Equity markets stalled in the U.S., with indices performing better last week in Europe and Japan. The S&P 500 flirted with its...
tim@emorningcoffee.com
Aug 16, 20209 min read
Robinhood, robintrack.net and Retail
Robinhood, robintrack.net (soon to be without data) and retail - the lessons and trends re stocks coming from retail. #markets #equities
tim@emorningcoffee.com
Aug 11, 20206 min read
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