tim@emorningcoffee.com
Week ended Sept 22, 2023: Central bank trifecta, recent IPOs
The central bank trifecta this week unfolded largely as expected. US bonds and equities puked on the Fed's "higher for longer".
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My view on what's going on in the financial markets and the global economy, and a few other things that might interest me from time to time.
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tim@emorningcoffee.com
- 5 days ago
- 5 min
Guns or butter?
"Guns or butter" is a macroeconomic concept regarding govt budget allocation, but this article is about similar consumer decisions.
210
tim@emorningcoffee.com
- Sep 16
- 4 min
Week ended Sept 15, 2023: ARM IPO, ECB rate hike, US inflation
The ARM IPO (fair price), the ECB rate decision ("dovish increase") and US CPI are were relatively neutral to supportive this week.
300
tim@emorningcoffee.com
- Sep 7
- 7 min
Jobs reports: are US jobs trending in the right direction?
This article is about jobs, more specifically, what is the key data? And what does the most recent data suggest about the future?
330
tim@emorningcoffee.com
- Aug 30
- 9 min
Social Security: crash and burn?
The US Social Security trust fund is expected to be depleted by 2033/4. Why, and what does this mean for me? How does Soc Security work?
480
tim@emorningcoffee.com
- Aug 26
- 6 min
Week ended Aug 25th 2023: Nvidia, Jackson Hole and real interest rates
Rather uneventful week in markets although equities generally better and yields a touch wider. Focus was on Jackson Hole, NVDA and rates.
420
tim@emorningcoffee.com
- Aug 4
- 5 min
FitchRatings downgrades the US: does anyone care?
FitchRatings downgraded the US to AA+ on Tuesday, triggering a harsh response from the Biden Administration but nonchalance from investors.
592
tim@emorningcoffee.com
- Aug 2
- 4 min
Wrong (so far)....but the Street has been, too
Seven months into the year, many of my Y/E forecasts for indices and other assets look like they will be wrong. I am in good company!
590
tim@emorningcoffee.com
- Jul 29
- 4 min
Week ended July 28, 2023: Looking good!
Bonds were battered again, but not global equities which took off like rockets. Earnings good, economic data good, etc – what's not to like
360
tim@emorningcoffee.com
- Jul 20
- 7 min
The great reveal: 1H2023 update
This article is an update to an article I penned in February regarding my personal portfolio. For me, it's painful reading!
1110
tim@emorningcoffee.com
- Jun 6
- 4 min
OPEC+ is at it again
This past weekend, OPEC+ jumped back into action to address falling oil prices by curtailing supply. In fact, as we now have learned, it...
220
tim@emorningcoffee.com
- May 30
- 3 min
BIPs, RIPs and CHIPs
Get ready for the next FOMC meeting and a market rip following the debt ceiling agreement. Want to better understand semiconductors?
610
tim@emorningcoffee.com
- May 15
- 7 min
FINANCE 101: The rationale for retirement savings plans
This article discusses the rationale for establishing retirement savings, the sooner the better. Corp plans are especially attractive.
570
tim@emorningcoffee.com
- May 8
- 6 min
Take aways from Berkshire Hathaway’s 2023 shareholder meeting
“What gives you opportunities is other people doing dumb things ... In the 58 years we’ve been running Berkshire, I would say there’s...
960
tim@emorningcoffee.com
- May 2
- 6 min
Decisions, decisions, decisions: inflation and consumer preferences
Headline inflation might be on the way down, but it is declining very slowly in the US and the EU, and remains in double-digits in the...
410
tim@emorningcoffee.com
- Apr 28
- 6 min
FINANCE 101: Savings and the time value of money
This is the first of FINANCE 101 topics, a series of articles re the basics of personal investing and financial management.
1071
tim@emorningcoffee.com
- Apr 24
- 7 min
The US debt ceiling debacle
The debt ceiling is front & centre as the date the US Treasury runs out of cash is drawing dangerously near. Here's my two cents, enjoy!
1454
tim@emorningcoffee.com
- Apr 5
- 4 min
S&P 500 1Q2023: Tech stars dominate (again)
Tech companies drove the 7% return of the S&P 500 in the 1Q23. Without the "magnificent seven", the index would have been flattish.
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