tim@emorningcoffee.comOct 55 min readWeek ended October 4, 2024: soft landing in sightRisk remains asymmetrical to the downside, but a robust US jobs report cheered risk investors on Friday and sent UST yields sharply higher.
tim@emorningcoffee.comAug 174 min readWeek ended Aug 16, 2024: "everything up" week!It was an "everything up" week, with global equities, US Treasuries, corporate bonds and gold all registering gains. Happy summer!
tim@emorningcoffee.comAug 105 min readWeek ended August 9, 2024: back where we startedIt was a highly volatile week in bond and risk markets, which makes it hard to believe that we ended the week about where we started.
tim@emorningcoffee.comAug 2, 20234 min readWrong (so far)....but the Street has been, tooSeven months into the year, many of my Y/E forecasts for indices and other assets look like they will be wrong. I am in good company!
tim@emorningcoffee.comJul 20, 20237 min readThe great reveal: 1H2023 updateThis article is an update to an article I penned in February regarding my personal portfolio. For me, it's painful reading!
tim@emorningcoffee.comJan 5, 20233 min readMy 2023 year-end guesses The Street pros provide year-end 2023 projections for stocks and bonds, so why not EMC? Here are my guesstimates and rationales.
tim@emorningcoffee.comDec 31, 20223 min readWEEKLY: Damn glad that's over!It was a holiday shortened, rather lacklustre week in markets. Good that 2022 is over. FY returns were poor across equities and bonds.
tim@emorningcoffee.comAug 23, 20226 min readThe Federal Reserve's balance sheetThe Federal Reserve is in the early stages of reducing its balance sheet, or quantitative tightening ("QT").
tim@emorningcoffee.comJun 7, 20228 min read2022 so far: not a year to remember for investors!2022 has been an abysmal year for most indices and asset classes globally, with the exceptions being oil, gold and the FTSE 100. Now what?