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My view on what's going on in the financial markets and the global economy, and a few other things that might interest me from time to time.
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Week ended Dec 27, 2024: more of the same
It was a relatively quiet week with holidays right in the middle of the week for many countries. Equities were better, yields were higher.
tim@emorningcoffee.com
Dec 28, 20242 min read
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Week ended Aug 16, 2024: "everything up" week!
It was an "everything up" week, with global equities, US Treasuries, corporate bonds and gold all registering gains. Happy summer!
tim@emorningcoffee.com
Aug 17, 20244 min read
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US deficits / debt soar; should you care?
US deficits are soaring, along with US debt to finance the "exceptional growth" of the US. Can this continue?
tim@emorningcoffee.com
Jun 25, 20246 min read
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Week ended Dec 29, 2023: end of year (short) edition
We ended the year very much along the themes that drove 4Q23. Equities and government bonds were better bid across the board. 2024??
tim@emorningcoffee.com
Dec 30, 20233 min read
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Week ended Sept 29, 2023 (end of 3Q)
Dismal end to a dismal quarter, with stocks down and bonds getting hammered. US govt shutdown, US housing market and UST market worries.
tim@emorningcoffee.com
Sep 30, 20237 min read
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Week ended Aug 4, 2023: It's August!
[GO STRAIGHT TO THE TABLES] We’re now into August, a normally lower-volume month, and often not the best month for equities. The table...
tim@emorningcoffee.com
Aug 6, 20234 min read
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Wrong (so far)....but the Street has been, too
Seven months into the year, many of my Y/E forecasts for indices and other assets look like they will be wrong. I am in good company!
tim@emorningcoffee.com
Aug 2, 20234 min read
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The Federal Reserve's balance sheet
The Federal Reserve is in the early stages of reducing its balance sheet, or quantitative tightening ("QT").
tim@emorningcoffee.com
Aug 23, 20226 min read
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Is the bond market doing the Fed's dirty work?
The bond market looks to be doing the Fed's dirty work, sending short term yields to post-pandemic highs. Is the Fed being too methodical?
tim@emorningcoffee.com
Oct 20, 20215 min read
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