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My view on what's going on in the financial markets and the global economy, and a few other things that might interest me from time to time.

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Week ended Jan 23, 2026: EM stocks and precious metals lead gains
Mr Trump was just where he wanted to be – the centre of attention at the #WEF in #Davos. Fortunately for investors, he climbed down from his "gotta have Greenland" position to reach some sort of undisclosed "deal" with the Europeans. Concurrently, JGB yields spiked with investors spoked by the budget outlook in Japan. Ultimately, US and European stocks ended the week lower, as Asian and emerging stocks drove gains. Gold continues to power ahead.

tim@emorningcoffee.com
Jan 244 min read


Week ended April 11, 2025: Bonds speak the truth
We're up, we're down, we're all around! US stocks remain volatile but ended higher. Bonds are the "adult in the room" though.

tim@emorningcoffee.com
Apr 12, 20256 min read


First quarter 2025 review of markets
The 1Q2025 is in the bag, not an easy quarter. US stocks performed poorly, but gold and European stocks did well. Treasuries also did ok.

tim@emorningcoffee.com
Mar 31, 20252 min read


Week ended Mar 7, 2025: markets continue to spiral down
Tariffs followed by partial capitulation, a strategic crypto reserve, and further erosion in markets summed up another tumultuous week.

tim@emorningcoffee.com
Mar 7, 20255 min read


Week ended Jan 17, 2025: markets recover
Global equities staged a nice rally last week, and government bond yields fell in the US and UK. Oil, gold and Bitcoin were all higher.

tim@emorningcoffee.com
Jan 18, 20252 min read


Week ended Jan 10, 2025: markets under pressure
Stock and bond markets felt fragile all week. The US Dec jobs report caused investments to gap down in price to end a difficult week.

tim@emorningcoffee.com
Jan 11, 20255 min read


Week ended Dec 20, 2024: FOMC projections send markets lower
Confident that another stellar year for U.S. stocks was coming to a close, investors were jolted from their complacency when the Federal...

tim@emorningcoffee.com
Dec 21, 20245 min read


Week ended June 28, 2024: Geopolitics dominate, markets lacklustre
The news narrative was dominated by elections in the UK and France, and the first Biden-Trump debate. Markets were lacklustre to close 1H24

tim@emorningcoffee.com
Jun 30, 20245 min read


Is the bond market doing the Fed's dirty work?
The bond market looks to be doing the Fed's dirty work, sending short term yields to post-pandemic highs. Is the Fed being too methodical?

tim@emorningcoffee.com
Oct 20, 20215 min read
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