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My view on what's going on in the financial markets and the global economy, and a few other things that might interest me from time to time.

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Week ended Feb 7, 2025: markets react to tariff threats, earnings and jobs
Last week was the second week running that the start of the week was characterised by turmoil, this time caused by tariff threats. Mr...

tim@emorningcoffee.com
Feb 85 min read
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Portfolio update: 4Q2024 and full year
This article contains an update of my 2024 portfolio performance. My returns were decent but not as good as they should have been.

tim@emorningcoffee.com
Jan 227 min read
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Week ended Jan 3, 2025
We start 2025 with a mixed picture, not surprising in that the new year consisted of a holiday week. Friday was better in US stocks.

tim@emorningcoffee.com
Jan 52 min read
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Week ended Dec 20, 2024: FOMC projections send markets lower
Confident that another stellar year for U.S. stocks was coming to a close, investors were jolted from their complacency when the Federal...

tim@emorningcoffee.com
Dec 21, 20245 min read
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Week ended Dec 6, 2024: risk markets and USTs better, Bitcoin soars to record
Stocks reached more record highs in the US, but Asian and European stocks outperformed. UST yields slightly lower. Bitcoin soars to record

tim@emorningcoffee.com
Dec 7, 20247 min read
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Week ended Oct 11, 2024: more record highs for US stocks
CPI slightly hotter than expected, and earnings off to a good start. Yields continue to back up, US stocks at record high close.

tim@emorningcoffee.com
Oct 12, 20245 min read
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Week ended October 4, 2024: soft landing in sight
Risk remains asymmetrical to the downside, but a robust US jobs report cheered risk investors on Friday and sent UST yields sharply higher.

tim@emorningcoffee.com
Oct 5, 20245 min read
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Week ended Sept 20, 2024: central bank decisions feature
Last week was mainly about a trifecta of central bank decisions, with most attention focused on the Fed. The Fed Funds rate was reduced .50%

tim@emorningcoffee.com
Sep 21, 20247 min read
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Week ended June 28, 2024: Geopolitics dominate, markets lacklustre
The news narrative was dominated by elections in the UK and France, and the first Biden-Trump debate. Markets were lacklustre to close 1H24

tim@emorningcoffee.com
Jun 30, 20245 min read
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