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My view on what's going on in the financial markets and the global economy, and a few other things that might interest me from time to time.

First half 2025: indices and market update

This article contains tables and commentary regarding the rather volatile but ultimately positive first half of 2025.

tim@emorningcoffee.com

Jul 4, 20256 min read

I "guessed" at how markets would perform in 2024 last year at this time. Some I got right, some I got wrong, not different from the pros.

tim@emorningcoffee.com

Dec 31, 20248 min read

This is an update of my personal portfolio performance in 2Q2024 and 1H2024, good on the surface but worse than the indices would suggest.

tim@emorningcoffee.com

Jul 24, 20248 min read

The 3Q23 was not good for stocks and bonds, reflected in the returns in my own portfolio. But returns YtD have been decent enough.

tim@emorningcoffee.com

Oct 26, 20234 min read

This article is an update to an article I penned in February regarding my personal portfolio. For me, it's painful reading!

tim@emorningcoffee.com

Jul 20, 20237 min read

Since I write a lot about markets and macroeconomic topics, it is only fair that I talk about my own investment portfolio.

tim@emorningcoffee.com

Feb 23, 20237 min read

Stocks do not always go up over shorter periods, but they do over longer periods. This article provides empirical support, see for yourself

tim@emorningcoffee.com

Feb 14, 20237 min read

The Street pros provide year-end 2023 projections for stocks and bonds, so why not EMC? Here are my guesstimates and rationales.

tim@emorningcoffee.com

Jan 5, 20233 min read

The consensus view is that stocks will rise modestly in 2023. History has proven one thing – analysts will be wrong!

tim@emorningcoffee.com

Dec 22, 202210 min read

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