The weekly update covers NVDA's excellent earnings; the A.I. shine which is wearing off; the minutes from the last FOMC meeting (Oct); and the fall of Bitcoin.

This article is an update of my personal portfolio at the end of 1H2025 (June 30, 2025). To say it was a volatile quarter is the mother of all understatements. Fortunately, I came out OK thanks to the fact that investors – especially in the bond market – provided guardrails for the nutty economic policies of Mr Trump. I saw the train wreck coming, but I failed to anticipate the shockingly fast recovery. You can read the gory details in this article.

This article contains tables and commentary regarding the rather volatile but ultimately positive first half of 2025.

I "guessed" at how markets would perform in 2024 last year at this time. Some I got right, some I got wrong, not different from the pros.

This is an update of my personal portfolio performance in 2Q2024 and 1H2024, good on the surface but worse than the indices would suggest.

The 3Q23 was not good for stocks and bonds, reflected in the returns in my own portfolio. But returns YtD have been decent enough.

This article is an update to an article I penned in February regarding my personal portfolio. For me, it's painful reading!

Since I write a lot about markets and macroeconomic topics, it is only fair that I talk about my own investment portfolio.

Stocks do not always go up over shorter periods, but they do over longer periods. This article provides empirical support, see for yourself