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My view on what's going on in the financial markets and the global economy, and a few other things that might interest me from time to time.

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Week ended Sept 26, 2025: markets drift
It was a slow drift lower in US stocks and bonds this past week, although Friday's PCE (inflation, August) and other economic data was sufficiently balanced to create a slight bounce. Global stocks were mixed, with U.K. and Japanese stocks generating the best returns WoW.

tim@emorningcoffee.com
Sep 273 min read
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Week ended August 29, 2025
Markets largely slid sideways in the usually quiet end of the month of August. There was news though, including the last of Mag 7earnings (NVDA), political turmoil in France, PCE for July, and th usual list of Trump matters.

tim@emorningcoffee.com
Aug 314 min read
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Week ended Aug 1, 2025: more trade uncertainty, weak jobs report
We were largely struggling but at least moving sideways until Friday, when the twin negative effects of a new tariffs and a weaker-than-expected jobs report pulled the rug from underneath investor sentiment. Risk assets faltered and safe haven assets rallied. Ouch!!

tim@emorningcoffee.com
Jul 316 min read
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Week ended March 28, 2025: risk markets falter after more tariffs
Mr Trump's announcement of 25% auto tariffs followed by others in the queue sent stocks spiralling down, and haven assets like gold higher.

tim@emorningcoffee.com
Mar 286 min read
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Week ended August 30, 2024
Earnings and economic data (especially inflation data) continued to improve risk sentiment. The yield curve inversion ended. Dollar better

tim@emorningcoffee.com
Sep 1, 20246 min read
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Week ended March 1, 2024
More of the same, as risk-on sentiment pushes US equity markets to record highs. Bitcoin is soaring, too. Economic data remains supportive

tim@emorningcoffee.com
Mar 1, 20247 min read
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Week ended Jan 26, 2024: US data, China, Tesla, central bank decisions
Lots of US economic data last week that pushed the S&P 500 to another record level. UST yields flattish. Chinese equities better. Read on

tim@emorningcoffee.com
Jan 27, 20243 min read
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Week ended Dec 22, 2023: Mixed data, markets continue rally
Economic data remains mixed, but it is clear inflation is slowing in the US and Europe. Investors are all-in on a faster pivot, markets up.

tim@emorningcoffee.com
Dec 23, 20235 min read
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BIPs, RIPs and CHIPs
Get ready for the next FOMC meeting and a market rip following the debt ceiling agreement. Want to better understand semiconductors?

tim@emorningcoffee.com
May 30, 20233 min read
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