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My view on what's going on in the financial markets and the global economy, and a few other things that might interest me from time to time.

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Week ended July 31, 2026: volatile month draws to a close
A volatile month draws to a close, with global bond yields higher as inflation expectations remain elevated. With no sign of the end of the Middle East conflict, investors very much remain on edge. Ongoing concerns regarding A.I. spending are also weighing on sentiment.

tim@emorningcoffee.com
Aug 16 min read


Week ended July 17, 2026: semi-conductor shares remain under pressure
Asia stocks got hammered on semi-conductor concerns, and US stocks were also weaker across the board. US Treasuries were stable, as inflationary expectations remain elevated even though June CPI data was better than expected. Fed chair Warsh spoke before Congress, and remains hawkish,

tim@emorningcoffee.com
Jul 185 min read


Week ended June 19, 2026: equities head higher (mostly)
Markets ripped off the back of a 2 page MoU between the US and Iran that reopened the Strait of Hormuz. The FOMC meeting had its first session under new chair Kevin Warsh, and he sounded even more hawkish than Mr Powell. SpaceX rocketed ahead 42% in its first (almost) full week of life. That's insane, but go ahead – load up! Friday was a holiday in the US.

tim@emorningcoffee.com
Jun 194 min read


Update: May CPI, central bank meetings, SpaceX IPO and Social Security
"....That being said, let’s motor on to what really matters in the coming days – May CPI in the U.S. (released yesterday), upcoming central bank meetings, the SpaceX IPO which is on the launch pad (no pun intended), and U.S. social security."

tim@emorningcoffee.com
Jun 115 min read


Week ended May 15, 2026: In bonds there is truth
Stocks were fine much of the week due to the ongoing "to the moon" A.I. narrative and rampant momentum buying. However, things came to a screeching halt on Friday, once the "adults in the room" (i.e. bond investors) started to run for cover with inflation soaring higher and becoming ever-more entrenched. Friday was firmly risk off, and now the question is what will happen next week? What if buy-the-dip investors go on strike? I don't even want to imagine that!!

tim@emorningcoffee.com
May 167 min read


Week ended Jan 30, 2026: A new Fed chair is chosen
Stocks and precious metals bounce around as more earnings come and go, the Fed holds rates steady as expected, and a new Fed chairman is nominated by Mr Trump.

tim@emorningcoffee.com
Jan 314 min read
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