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My view on what's going on in the financial markets and the global economy, and a few other things that might interest me from time to time.

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Portfolio update: 2Q2025
This article is an update of my personal portfolio at the end of 1H2025 (June 30, 2025). To say it was a volatile quarter is the mother of all understatements. Fortunately, I came out OK thanks to the fact that investors – especially in the bond market – provided guardrails for the nutty economic policies of Mr Trump. I saw the train wreck coming, but I failed to anticipate the shockingly fast recovery. You can read the gory details in this article.

tim@emorningcoffee.com
Jul 22, 20259 min read


Portfolio update: 1H2024
This is an update of my personal portfolio performance in 2Q2024 and 1H2024, good on the surface but worse than the indices would suggest.

tim@emorningcoffee.com
Jul 24, 20248 min read


Week ended July 14, 2023: Investors party!
Stock and bond investors party hard, with equities ripping and US Treasury yields dropping sharply. A benign June CPI report was key driver

tim@emorningcoffee.com
Jul 15, 20233 min read


Corporate bonds: why you should care about this market
This is a primer on corporate bonds, investment grade & high yield. It also discusses the pandemic and its effect on the corp bond market.

tim@emorningcoffee.com
Feb 8, 202218 min read


Where we are.....what to do?
What are your assumptions about the current economic parameters affecting investors? Which investments make sense and which do not?

tim@emorningcoffee.com
Oct 12, 20212 min read


A look back at returns during the pandemic
This article looks at asset returns across various equity indices (US and global) and other asset classes during the pandemic and longer.

tim@emorningcoffee.com
Sep 7, 20218 min read


Week Ended April 9th: "Back to the Future"
Update for this past week in equities, credit, and other assets. IMF projects growth, SPACs under pressure, bank earnings coming, etc.

tim@emorningcoffee.com
Apr 10, 20214 min read


Week Ended Dec 11th 2020 and the Week Ahead
With vaccines now beginning to be administered, I understand the long game, but I find myself very much stuck in the moment......

tim@emorningcoffee.com
Dec 12, 20209 min read
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