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My view on what's going on in the financial markets and the global economy, and a few other things that might interest me from time to time.

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Portfolio update: 2Q2025
This article is an update of my personal portfolio at the end of 1H2025 (June 30, 2025). To say it was a volatile quarter is the mother of all understatements. Fortunately, I came out OK thanks to the fact that investors – especially in the bond market – provided guardrails for the nutty economic policies of Mr Trump. I saw the train wreck coming, but I failed to anticipate the shockingly fast recovery. You can read the gory details in this article.

tim@emorningcoffee.com
Jul 229 min read
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Portfolio update: 1H2024
This is an update of my personal portfolio performance in 2Q2024 and 1H2024, good on the surface but worse than the indices would suggest.

tim@emorningcoffee.com
Jul 24, 20248 min read
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Week ended July 14, 2023: Investors party!
Stock and bond investors party hard, with equities ripping and US Treasury yields dropping sharply. A benign June CPI report was key driver

tim@emorningcoffee.com
Jul 15, 20233 min read
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Corporate bonds: why you should care about this market
This is a primer on corporate bonds, investment grade & high yield. It also discusses the pandemic and its effect on the corp bond market.

tim@emorningcoffee.com
Feb 8, 202218 min read
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Where we are.....what to do?
What are your assumptions about the current economic parameters affecting investors? Which investments make sense and which do not?

tim@emorningcoffee.com
Oct 12, 20212 min read
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A look back at returns during the pandemic
This article looks at asset returns across various equity indices (US and global) and other asset classes during the pandemic and longer.

tim@emorningcoffee.com
Sep 7, 20218 min read
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Week Ended April 9th: "Back to the Future"
Update for this past week in equities, credit, and other assets. IMF projects growth, SPACs under pressure, bank earnings coming, etc.

tim@emorningcoffee.com
Apr 10, 20214 min read
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Week Ended Dec 11th 2020 and the Week Ahead
With vaccines now beginning to be administered, I understand the long game, but I find myself very much stuck in the moment......

tim@emorningcoffee.com
Dec 12, 20209 min read
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