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My view on what's going on in the financial markets and the global economy, and a few other things that might interest me from time to time.

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Week ended April 24, 2026: stocks add to gains in spite of outlook
Stocks added to monthly gains, except in Europe where stocks lost ground. US Treasury yields were higher, as bonds lost ground. Oil prices increased double digits again, as the US-Iran conflict seems no closer to resolution.

tim@emorningcoffee.com
7 hours ago5 min read
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The K-shaped economy and affordability
This is a short article about the K-shaped economy, driven by persistently high inflation and exacerbated by the errant "One, Big Beautiful Bill".

tim@emorningcoffee.com
Jan 75 min read
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Week ended May 2, 2025: Risk is back on!
Markets are at last returning to some sense of normalcy, with the S&P 500 now clawing back all of its losses since the infamous...

tim@emorningcoffee.com
May 3, 20256 min read
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Week ended April 11, 2025: Bonds speak the truth
We're up, we're down, we're all around! US stocks remain volatile but ended higher. Bonds are the "adult in the room" though.

tim@emorningcoffee.com
Apr 12, 20256 min read
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Week ended March 14, 2025: markets volatile (again)
The sell-off in global equities is getting more painful, as investors continue to shun risk and pile into safe haven assets. What makes...

tim@emorningcoffee.com
Mar 15, 20255 min read
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Week ended Sept 27, 2024: China delivers stimulus, PCE data in line
Chinese stimulus measures buoyed stocks globally, and US Treasuries were stable. Gold paused and oil fell. The Dollar was weaker.

tim@emorningcoffee.com
Sep 28, 20245 min read
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Week ended April 12, 2024: "hot" US CPI data wrecks markets
US CPI data released Weds morning was the culprit, wrecking sentiment in equities and sending yields soaring. Gold and the Dollar stronger.

tim@emorningcoffee.com
Apr 13, 20244 min read
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Week ended Nov 10, 2023
US stocks were stopped in their tracks by higher yields on Thurs (poor 30y UST auction), but resumed their upward trajectory the next day.

tim@emorningcoffee.com
Nov 12, 20236 min read
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Week ended October 20, 2023: yields spike
Yields spiked this week, one of several factors leading to a decisive risk-off feeling as equities tanked and gold roared forward.

tim@emorningcoffee.com
Oct 21, 20235 min read
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