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My view on what's going on in the financial markets and the global economy, and a few other things that might interest me from time to time.

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Week ended June 26, 2026: stocks and bonds diverge
Stocks and bonds diverged last week, as volatility kicked into high gear especially around semi-conductor stocks. Yields came in across the curve as long term inflation expectations subsided. Gold and Bitcoin lost ground, and the US Dollar continued to grind higher.

tim@emorningcoffee.com
Jun 284 min read
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Week ended May 29, 2026: an "everything better" (almost) week!
Most global bond and stock indices rallied last week, with several global (including U.S.) stock indices closing at record highs. PCE data for April confirmed elevated inflation in the U.S., and the fact that consumers are getting poorer. This is a real contrast with the ever-higher improvement in most global asset prices.

tim@emorningcoffee.com
May 304 min read
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Week ended April 18, 2025
There will be no "Fed put" according to Mr Powell, which rattled markets and evoked a response from Mr Trump. US equities slumped again.

tim@emorningcoffee.com
Apr 19, 20255 min read
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Week ended March 21, 2025: US stocks eke out gains
Most focus this week was on the FOMC decision, which was initially viewed as slightly dovish before reality sat in. Markets were mixed.

tim@emorningcoffee.com
Mar 22, 20255 min read
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Week ended Jan 17, 2025: markets recover
Global equities staged a nice rally last week, and government bond yields fell in the US and UK. Oil, gold and Bitcoin were all higher.

tim@emorningcoffee.com
Jan 18, 20252 min read
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Week ended May 17, 2024: it was an "everything up" week
The week started with a short-lived meme frenzy, which fade quickly. Slightly weaker US data then took centre stage.

tim@emorningcoffee.com
May 18, 20246 min read
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