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My view on what's going on in the financial markets and the global economy, and a few other things that might interest me from time to time.

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Week ended April 24, 2026: stocks add to gains in spite of outlook
Stocks added to monthly gains, except in Europe where stocks lost ground. US Treasury yields were higher, as bonds lost ground. Oil prices increased double digits again, as the US-Iran conflict seems no closer to resolution.

tim@emorningcoffee.com
Apr 255 min read
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Week ended March 6, 2026: war breaks out, global assets trashed
War breaks out with rather significant effects on the global economy, including sharply higher oil prices and increasing inflation expectations. This filtered through to stocks and bonds, both of which took a beating this week.

tim@emorningcoffee.com
Mar 78 min read
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Week ended October 31, 2025:
A.I. featured large again last week, mainly because it was the key talking point as five of the Mag 7 companies released earnings with mixed results. The FOMC decision also went as expected, although Mr Powell threw some caution into the wind. Global stock markets took it in stride, but the US Treasury market was less happy as yields rose across the curve. Gold was weaker again, and the US Dollar strengthened.

tim@emorningcoffee.com
Nov 2, 20255 min read
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Week ended Sept 26, 2025: markets drift
It was a slow drift lower in US stocks and bonds this past week, although Friday's PCE (inflation, August) and other economic data was sufficiently balanced to create a slight bounce. Global stocks were mixed, with U.K. and Japanese stocks generating the best returns WoW.

tim@emorningcoffee.com
Sep 27, 20253 min read
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Week ended Jan 10, 2025: markets under pressure
Stock and bond markets felt fragile all week. The US Dec jobs report caused investments to gap down in price to end a difficult week.

tim@emorningcoffee.com
Jan 11, 20255 min read
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2024 market and asset performance vs my expectations: how'd I do?
I "guessed" at how markets would perform in 2024 last year at this time. Some I got right, some I got wrong, not different from the pros.

tim@emorningcoffee.com
Dec 31, 20248 min read
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Does the "Trump rally" have legs?
Some stocks that clearly "track" President-elect Trump's varied campaign promises have rallied hard, including TSLA, BTC, COIN and KRE.

tim@emorningcoffee.com
Nov 12, 20245 min read
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Week ended June 7, 2024: US jobs surprise
Stocks and bonds were better on the week in spite of a strong May jobs report released Friday morning. Gold and oil weaker, USD stronger.

tim@emorningcoffee.com
Jun 8, 20246 min read
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The US debt ceiling debacle
The debt ceiling is front & centre as the date the US Treasury runs out of cash is drawing dangerously near. Here's my two cents, enjoy!

tim@emorningcoffee.com
Apr 24, 20237 min read
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