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My view on what's going on in the financial markets and the global economy, and a few other things that might interest me from time to time.

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Week ended October 31, 2025:
A.I. featured large again last week, mainly because it was the key talking point as five of the Mag 7 companies released earnings with mixed results. The FOMC decision also went as expected, although Mr Powell threw some caution into the wind. Global stock markets took it in stride, but the US Treasury market was less happy as yields rose across the curve. Gold was weaker again, and the US Dollar strengthened.

tim@emorningcoffee.com
Nov 25 min read
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Week ended June 14, 2024: US inflation slows
US CPI surprised on the downside (lower than expected) this week, setting a constructive tone. The FOMC says one rate cut, Europe wobbles.

tim@emorningcoffee.com
Jun 15, 20243 min read
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Week ended March 1, 2024
More of the same, as risk-on sentiment pushes US equity markets to record highs. Bitcoin is soaring, too. Economic data remains supportive

tim@emorningcoffee.com
Mar 1, 20247 min read
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Week ended Feb 16th, 2024: economic data drives markets
US inflation for January was hot, pushing equities bond bonds lower. International equities performed better. UK and Japan in recession.

tim@emorningcoffee.com
Feb 17, 20245 min read
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Week ended January 12, 2024: focus on Bitcoin ETFs
Last week was about US inflation data and the approval of Bitcoin ETFs. CPI was slightly hot, and PPI was weak, sending yields lower.

tim@emorningcoffee.com
Jan 13, 20244 min read
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Week ended Nov 3, 2023: stocks and bonds rally hard
Stocks and bonds were on fire this week, a rare occurrence recently. "Bad news is good news" resonated as data showed a slowing US economy

tim@emorningcoffee.com
Nov 4, 20236 min read
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Week ended August 11, 2023: rather boring
Dullsville although markets did gyrate a bit, with equities and bonds lower, the USD, credit and oil better. US inflation bang on.

tim@emorningcoffee.com
Aug 12, 20235 min read
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Week ended Aug 4, 2023: It's August!
[GO STRAIGHT TO THE TABLES] We’re now into August, a normally lower-volume month, and often not the best month for equities. The table...

tim@emorningcoffee.com
Aug 6, 20234 min read
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Wrong (so far)....but the Street has been, too
Seven months into the year, many of my Y/E forecasts for indices and other assets look like they will be wrong. I am in good company!

tim@emorningcoffee.com
Aug 2, 20234 min read
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