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My view on what's going on in the financial markets and the global economy, and a few other things that might interest me from time to time.

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Week ended Feb 20th, 2026: Stocks eke out gains
Stocks eked out small gains and US Treasuries had small losses this past week, with plenty of economic news – especially on Friday – largely resulting in a "meh" response. European stocks closed at record highs, while gold and the greenback gained ground. Bitcoin continued to suffer losses.

tim@emorningcoffee.com
Feb 214 min read


Week ended Jan 30, 2026: A new Fed chair is chosen
Stocks and precious metals bounce around as more earnings come and go, the Fed holds rates steady as expected, and a new Fed chairman is nominated by Mr Trump.

tim@emorningcoffee.com
Jan 314 min read


Week ended Jan 2, 2026: welcome to the new year!
The last two weeks were rather uneventful, so this is a quick summary of price performance in 2025, and a look ahead to 2026. Are we in a bubble and don't know it?

tim@emorningcoffee.com
Jan 43 min read


My 2023 year-end guesses
The Street pros provide year-end 2023 projections for stocks and bonds, so why not EMC? Here are my guesstimates and rationales.

tim@emorningcoffee.com
Jan 5, 20233 min read


Predicting stock prices: 2023
The consensus view is that stocks will rise modestly in 2023. History has proven one thing – analysts will be wrong!

tim@emorningcoffee.com
Dec 22, 202210 min read


Tesla: as resilient as ever
Love it or hate it, the fact is that Tesla's stock performance has left nearly all peers – tech and automotive – in the dust. Now what?

tim@emorningcoffee.com
Sep 22, 20226 min read


3,200? Possible but I hope not!
This is an article based on correspondence with two readers, both coming to the same conclusion – the S&P 500 is going to drop further!

tim@emorningcoffee.com
Sep 20, 20223 min read


Buy the Dip or Sell the Rip?
Given the poor performance of equities so far this year, I wanted to take a quick high level look at valuations of a number of stocks...

tim@emorningcoffee.com
Jan 27, 202210 min read


Enjoy these stocks if you own them; tread carefully if you don’t
This article looks at recent performance of and valuation metrics of the FAMAG stocks and four others: SHOP, NVDA, TSLA and NFLX.

tim@emorningcoffee.com
Nov 8, 20218 min read
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