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My view on what's going on in the financial markets and the global economy, and a few other things that might interest me from time to time.

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Week ended August 15, 2025: markets stagnate second half of week
U.S. stocks hit record highs mid-week for two days running, but softened after worst-than-expected PPI data and eroding consumer confidence, released Thursday and Friday, put a dent in the animal spirits driving risk assets higher. UST yields rose, remaining stubbornly high and not very connected to what the FOMC might or might not do at the next FOMC meeting.

tim@emorningcoffee.com
Aug 154 min read
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Week ended March 14, 2025: markets volatile (again)
The sell-off in global equities is getting more painful, as investors continue to shun risk and pile into safe haven assets. What makes...

tim@emorningcoffee.com
Mar 155 min read
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Week ended Feb 14, 2025: markets slightly better
Inflation continues to confound, although investors largely shook it off. Market volatility remains elevated but stocks better WoW.

tim@emorningcoffee.com
Feb 154 min read
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Week ended July 12, 2024: stocks and bonds rip
Stocks rip and bonds rip. Small cap stocks did the best in the States while tech floundered. US CPI cooler than expected. UK growth better

tim@emorningcoffee.com
Jul 13, 20246 min read
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Week ended June 14, 2024: US inflation slows
US CPI surprised on the downside (lower than expected) this week, setting a constructive tone. The FOMC says one rate cut, Europe wobbles.

tim@emorningcoffee.com
Jun 15, 20243 min read
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Week ended April 12, 2024: "hot" US CPI data wrecks markets
US CPI data released Weds morning was the culprit, wrecking sentiment in equities and sending yields soaring. Gold and the Dollar stronger.

tim@emorningcoffee.com
Apr 13, 20244 min read
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Week ended Feb 16th, 2024: economic data drives markets
US inflation for January was hot, pushing equities bond bonds lower. International equities performed better. UK and Japan in recession.

tim@emorningcoffee.com
Feb 17, 20245 min read
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Week ended January 12, 2024: focus on Bitcoin ETFs
Last week was about US inflation data and the approval of Bitcoin ETFs. CPI was slightly hot, and PPI was weak, sending yields lower.

tim@emorningcoffee.com
Jan 13, 20244 min read
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Week ended October 13, 2023: reality of war sets in
A deferred reaction to war in the Middle East meant that equities rallied and bonds sold off in the first half of the week, but then......

tim@emorningcoffee.com
Oct 14, 20233 min read
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