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My view on what's going on in the financial markets and the global economy, and a few other things that might interest me from time to time.
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American Exceptionalism
Better late than never, in that this article is about my views on American exceptionalism, both economically and as far as US stocks.
tim@emorningcoffee.com
Jan 813 min read
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Week ended Dec 27, 2024: more of the same
It was a relatively quiet week with holidays right in the middle of the week for many countries. Equities were better, yields were higher.
tim@emorningcoffee.com
Dec 28, 20242 min read
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Midweek update: Apple, CPI/FOMC, GME
We have some US data coming that might matter today (CPI), but the FOMC will sit tight (also today). Discusses Apple's run and GameStop.
tim@emorningcoffee.com
Jun 12, 20247 min read
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WEEKLY: Damn glad that's over!
It was a holiday shortened, rather lacklustre week in markets. Good that 2022 is over. FY returns were poor across equities and bonds.
tim@emorningcoffee.com
Dec 31, 20223 min read
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The Federal Reserve's balance sheet
The Federal Reserve is in the early stages of reducing its balance sheet, or quantitative tightening ("QT").
tim@emorningcoffee.com
Aug 23, 20226 min read
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FOREX
FOREX is in the news, especially as many think the USD has reached its peak and is at an inflection point. What drives FOREX? Read on.
tim@emorningcoffee.com
May 25, 20229 min read
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The Federal Reserve and the Decade of 2010-2020
The decade 2010-20 involved a very hands-on approach by the Fed to steer the US economy out of a deep recession. What lessons can be learnt
tim@emorningcoffee.com
May 10, 202214 min read
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FOMO, TINA, YOLO and the Fed
Don't look to fundamentals to explain equity prices today – look to attitudes embedded in acronyms. And don't forget the super-easy Fed!
tim@emorningcoffee.com
Nov 23, 20214 min read
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About that transitory inflation........
I continue to believe that inflation will be transitory, but supply-push inflation will cause inflation to be higher longer.
tim@emorningcoffee.com
Oct 8, 20214 min read
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