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My view on what's going on in the financial markets and the global economy, and a few other things that might interest me from time to time.

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Week ended August 15, 2025: markets stagnate second half of week
U.S. stocks hit record highs mid-week for two days running, but softened after worst-than-expected PPI data and eroding consumer confidence, released Thursday and Friday, put a dent in the animal spirits driving risk assets higher. UST yields rose, remaining stubbornly high and not very connected to what the FOMC might or might not do at the next FOMC meeting.

tim@emorningcoffee.com
Aug 15, 20254 min read


Week ended August 8, 2025: more record highs
The bottom line is that global stocks ended at or near record highs again, with US Treasury yields slightly higher. The BoE – after a struggle – managed to lower its policy rate. Fitch published an interesting article on tariffs, Apple CEO Tim Cook met with the president, and the recent Pivot podcast interview with Anthony Scaramucci is very interesting.

tim@emorningcoffee.com
Aug 9, 20255 min read


Week ended July 18, 2025: US economic data and corporate earnings solid
Concerns regarding tariffs and trade rhetoric faded a bit in the second half of the week in the U.S., which gave way to decent economic data and a strong start to the earnings season. The S&P 500 and NASDAQ hit record highs (again). Yields were under modest pressure at the long end of the curve.

tim@emorningcoffee.com
Jul 18, 20254 min read


Week ended Jan 24, 2025: Mr Trump's first week in office
US markets responded favourably to new President Donald Trump’s first week in office, with bond yields holding steady and stock indices...

tim@emorningcoffee.com
Jan 25, 20254 min read


Week ended Jan 17, 2025: markets recover
Global equities staged a nice rally last week, and government bond yields fell in the US and UK. Oil, gold and Bitcoin were all higher.

tim@emorningcoffee.com
Jan 18, 20252 min read


Week ended Jan 3, 2025
We start 2025 with a mixed picture, not surprising in that the new year consisted of a holiday week. Friday was better in US stocks.

tim@emorningcoffee.com
Jan 5, 20252 min read


Week ended Dec 20, 2024: FOMC projections send markets lower
Confident that another stellar year for U.S. stocks was coming to a close, investors were jolted from their complacency when the Federal...

tim@emorningcoffee.com
Dec 21, 20245 min read


Week ended Nov 8, 2024: Markets adapt to president-elect Trump
Last week was mainly about the US election, which D Trump and the Republicans won in a landslide. The "Trump trade" was full on.

tim@emorningcoffee.com
Nov 9, 20249 min read


Week ended Sept 27, 2024: China delivers stimulus, PCE data in line
Chinese stimulus measures buoyed stocks globally, and US Treasuries were stable. Gold paused and oil fell. The Dollar was weaker.

tim@emorningcoffee.com
Sep 28, 20245 min read
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