tim@emorningcoffee.comAug 24 minWrong (so far)....but the Street has been, tooSeven months into the year, many of my Y/E forecasts for indices and other assets look like they will be wrong. I am in good company!
tim@emorningcoffee.comJul 153 minWeek ended July 14, 2023: Investors party!Stock and bond investors party hard, with equities ripping and US Treasury yields dropping sharply. A benign June CPI report was key driver
tim@emorningcoffee.comMay 65 minWeek ended May 5, 2023: Now what?Mixed data week but generally suggesting resilient US jobs market. Fed and ECB hike, Apple delivers the goods. Equities slightly weaker.
tim@emorningcoffee.comMar 255 minWeek ended March 24, 2023Concerns about banking arguably subsided as the week wore on, with Fed and BoE rate decisions taking centre stage. Risk assets better bid.
tim@emorningcoffee.comFeb 54 minWeek ended Feb 3rd, 2023Until the end of the week, the data and earnings were saying one thing and investors were hearing another. Markets decent though till Fri.
tim@emorningcoffee.comJan 284 minWEEKLY: Risk assets head to the moon!We are going "to the moon" across risk assets of all types. Can this continue? I'm not convinced but it's been a great start to 2023!
tim@emorningcoffee.comJan 146 minWEEKLY: Goldilocks CPI report spurs risk rallyA goldilocks CPI report for Dec cheered markets on Thurs. spurring further risk-on. Bank earnings had warnings on Friday that were ignored.
tim@emorningcoffee.comDec 31, 20223 minWEEKLY: Damn glad that's over!It was a holiday shortened, rather lacklustre week in markets. Good that 2022 is over. FY returns were poor across equities and bonds.
tim@emorningcoffee.comDec 18, 20226 minWEEKLY: Actions speak louder than wordsThe Fed, ECB and BoE all did exactly as predicted, but comments following press releases were decidedly hawkish. Markets puked on this.