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My view on what's going on in the financial markets and the global economy, and a few other things that might interest me from time to time.

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Week ended February 27, 2026: sentiment is "risk off"
US stocks lost ground and are performing poorly YtD, especially compared to stocks in the UK, Europe and Japan, all of which closed at record highs on Friday. US Treasuries suddenly have a safe haven bid, with the yield on the 10y finally dropping below 4%. Gold remains strongly bid, Bitcoin remains largely without a bid.

tim@emorningcoffee.com
7 days ago4 min read
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Week ended Dec 27, 2024: more of the same
It was a relatively quiet week with holidays right in the middle of the week for many countries. Equities were better, yields were higher.

tim@emorningcoffee.com
Dec 28, 20242 min read
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Week ended August 23, 2024: Fed "pencils in" first rate reduction
A confluence of economic data, punctuated by a speech by Fed Chair Powell on Friday in Jackson Hole, suggests rate cuts are coming soon.

tim@emorningcoffee.com
Aug 24, 20243 min read
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Week ended Aug 16, 2024: "everything up" week!
It was an "everything up" week, with global equities, US Treasuries, corporate bonds and gold all registering gains. Happy summer!

tim@emorningcoffee.com
Aug 17, 20244 min read
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Week ended Dec 29, 2023: end of year (short) edition
We ended the year very much along the themes that drove 4Q23. Equities and government bonds were better bid across the board. 2024??

tim@emorningcoffee.com
Dec 30, 20233 min read
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Wrong (so far)....but the Street has been, too
Seven months into the year, many of my Y/E forecasts for indices and other assets look like they will be wrong. I am in good company!

tim@emorningcoffee.com
Aug 2, 20234 min read
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Week ended July 14, 2023: Investors party!
Stock and bond investors party hard, with equities ripping and US Treasury yields dropping sharply. A benign June CPI report was key driver

tim@emorningcoffee.com
Jul 15, 20233 min read
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Week ended May 5, 2023: Now what?
Mixed data week but generally suggesting resilient US jobs market. Fed and ECB hike, Apple delivers the goods. Equities slightly weaker.

tim@emorningcoffee.com
May 6, 20235 min read
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WEEKLY: Damn glad that's over!
It was a holiday shortened, rather lacklustre week in markets. Good that 2022 is over. FY returns were poor across equities and bonds.

tim@emorningcoffee.com
Dec 31, 20223 min read
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