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My view on what's going on in the financial markets and the global economy, and a few other things that might interest me from time to time.

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Week ended Jan 2, 2026: welcome to the new year!
The last two weeks were rather uneventful, so this is a quick summary of price performance in 2025, and a look ahead to 2026. Are we in a bubble and don't know it?

tim@emorningcoffee.com
Jan 43 min read


Week ended Nov 7, 2025: Dip, or beginning of the end?
There are no shortage of investors which think stocks are well over-baked, especially stocks of companies that are directly or indirectly associated with the ongoing A.I. hype. It has appeared for weeks that this was nothing more than scaremongering as stocks continued their stratospheric rise. However, the past week saw scepticism start to set in as investor concerns regarding valuations broadened. Tech stocks led the sell-off, although there were few places to hide as mo

tim@emorningcoffee.com
Nov 8, 20255 min read


Week ended October 31, 2025:
A.I. featured large again last week, mainly because it was the key talking point as five of the Mag 7 companies released earnings with mixed results. The FOMC decision also went as expected, although Mr Powell threw some caution into the wind. Global stock markets took it in stride, but the US Treasury market was less happy as yields rose across the curve. Gold was weaker again, and the US Dollar strengthened.

tim@emorningcoffee.com
Nov 2, 20255 min read


Week ended October 17, 2025: up, down and all around
I started drafting this update Friday morning in London, with U.S. futures massively down. And then – like magic – the U.S. stock market opened slightly better, bounced around all morning, and then headed higher during the afternoon. These are crazy times! Above are some of the headlines that have appeared the last two days in # Bloomberg and the # FT . Over-valued equities and concerns about A.I. have been present for some time, but the last two headlines regarding cred

tim@emorningcoffee.com
Oct 17, 20256 min read


Cars, tariffs and social security "fraud"
This article summarises two articles and one podcast that are topical,: US/EU automotive tariffs, social security "fraud", and steel tariffs

tim@emorningcoffee.com
Feb 19, 20257 min read


Week ended May 12, 2023
[GO STRAIGHT TO THE TABLES] MARKETS SUMMARY Stocks didn’t do much week-over-week although the general trend was down. Japanese equities...

tim@emorningcoffee.com
May 13, 20234 min read
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