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My view on what's going on in the financial markets and the global economy, and a few other things that might interest me from time to time.

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Week ended January 16 2026: global stocks gain, US stocks and bonds lose ground
Most U.S. stock indices were weaker WoW, except for the small/mid cap Russell 2000 which has strung together some amazing gains YtD (+7.9%). Other global equity indices were generally positive. USTs lost ground, and both gold and Bitcoin pushed higher. This all happened in a backdrop in which the U.S. president introduced a series of populist and interventionist proposals that are drifting wider and wider from Republican principals.

tim@emorningcoffee.com
Jan 173 min read


Week ended August 29, 2025
Markets largely slid sideways in the usually quiet end of the month of August. There was news though, including the last of Mag 7earnings (NVDA), political turmoil in France, PCE for July, and th usual list of Trump matters.

tim@emorningcoffee.com
Aug 31, 20254 min read


Week ended August 22, 2025: Powell signals dovish tilt
After drifting lower much of the week, US stocks and bonds got a significant uplift on Friday from Fed Chairman Powell's comments at the Jackson Hole Economic Symposium.

tim@emorningcoffee.com
Aug 23, 20253 min read


Week ended Aug 1, 2025: more trade uncertainty, weak jobs report
We were largely struggling but at least moving sideways until Friday, when the twin negative effects of a new tariffs and a weaker-than-expected jobs report pulled the rug from underneath investor sentiment. Risk assets faltered and safe haven assets rallied. Ouch!!

tim@emorningcoffee.com
Jul 31, 20256 min read


Week ended July 18, 2025: US economic data and corporate earnings solid
Concerns regarding tariffs and trade rhetoric faded a bit in the second half of the week in the U.S., which gave way to decent economic data and a strong start to the earnings season. The S&P 500 and NASDAQ hit record highs (again). Yields were under modest pressure at the long end of the curve.

tim@emorningcoffee.com
Jul 18, 20254 min read


Week ended June 20, 2025: Fed sits tight
None of the three major central banks that had monetary policy meetings this week – including the Fed, the BoE and the BoJ – changed their monetary policy approach, although central banks in Switzerland, Sweden and Norway all eased. Markets remain slightly on edge because of the growing Middle East conflict.

tim@emorningcoffee.com
Jun 20, 20257 min read


Week ended May 9, 2025: Trump says "buy stocks" (again)
Markets continued to stabilise this week, at least as far as risk assets including global equities and BTC. Other assets moved sideways.

tim@emorningcoffee.com
May 8, 20256 min read


Week ended March 21, 2025: US stocks eke out gains
Most focus this week was on the FOMC decision, which was initially viewed as slightly dovish before reality sat in. Markets were mixed.

tim@emorningcoffee.com
Mar 22, 20255 min read


Week ended Jan 31, 2025: earnings and central bank decisions dominate
The week started and ended poorly for US stocks, delivering losses for the week. European stocks have been the best performers YtD.

tim@emorningcoffee.com
Feb 1, 20255 min read
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