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My view on what's going on in the financial markets and the global economy, and a few other things that might interest me from time to time.

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Week ended July 18, 2025: US economic data and corporate earnings solid
Concerns regarding tariffs and trade rhetoric faded a bit in the second half of the week in the U.S., which gave way to decent economic data and a strong start to the earnings season. The S&P 500 and NASDAQ hit record highs (again). Yields were under modest pressure at the long end of the curve.

tim@emorningcoffee.com
Jul 184 min read
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Week ended June 20, 2025: Fed sits tight
None of the three major central banks that had monetary policy meetings this week – including the Fed, the BoE and the BoJ – changed their monetary policy approach, although central banks in Switzerland, Sweden and Norway all eased. Markets remain slightly on edge because of the growing Middle East conflict.

tim@emorningcoffee.com
Jun 207 min read
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Week ended May 9, 2025: Trump says "buy stocks" (again)
Markets continued to stabilise this week, at least as far as risk assets including global equities and BTC. Other assets moved sideways.

tim@emorningcoffee.com
May 86 min read
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Week ended March 21, 2025: US stocks eke out gains
Most focus this week was on the FOMC decision, which was initially viewed as slightly dovish before reality sat in. Markets were mixed.

tim@emorningcoffee.com
Mar 225 min read
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Week ended Jan 31, 2025: earnings and central bank decisions dominate
The week started and ended poorly for US stocks, delivering losses for the week. European stocks have been the best performers YtD.

tim@emorningcoffee.com
Feb 15 min read
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Week ended Jan 17, 2025: markets recover
Global equities staged a nice rally last week, and government bond yields fell in the US and UK. Oil, gold and Bitcoin were all higher.

tim@emorningcoffee.com
Jan 182 min read
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Week ended Dec 20, 2024: FOMC projections send markets lower
Confident that another stellar year for U.S. stocks was coming to a close, investors were jolted from their complacency when the Federal...

tim@emorningcoffee.com
Dec 21, 20245 min read
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Week ended Nov 8, 2024: Markets adapt to president-elect Trump
Last week was mainly about the US election, which D Trump and the Republicans won in a landslide. The "Trump trade" was full on.

tim@emorningcoffee.com
Nov 9, 20249 min read
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Week ended Sept 20, 2024: central bank decisions feature
Last week was mainly about a trifecta of central bank decisions, with most attention focused on the Fed. The Fed Funds rate was reduced .50%

tim@emorningcoffee.com
Sep 21, 20247 min read
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