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My view on what's going on in the financial markets and the global economy, and a few other things that might interest me from time to time.

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Portfolio update: 1Q2026
This is an update of my 1Q2026 portfolio performance. My all-in return was nil, which was not disappointing (to me at least) given the performance of assets prices in March, following the beginning of the US-Israel war against Iran.

tim@emorningcoffee.com
4 days ago7 min read


Week ended Dec 6, 2024: risk markets and USTs better, Bitcoin soars to record
Stocks reached more record highs in the US, but Asian and European stocks outperformed. UST yields slightly lower. Bitcoin soars to record

tim@emorningcoffee.com
Dec 7, 20247 min read


Wrong (so far)....but the Street has been, too
Seven months into the year, many of my Y/E forecasts for indices and other assets look like they will be wrong. I am in good company!

tim@emorningcoffee.com
Aug 2, 20234 min read


Stocks - do they always go up?
Stocks do not always go up over shorter periods, but they do over longer periods. This article provides empirical support, see for yourself

tim@emorningcoffee.com
Feb 14, 20237 min read


My 2023 year-end guesses
The Street pros provide year-end 2023 projections for stocks and bonds, so why not EMC? Here are my guesstimates and rationales.

tim@emorningcoffee.com
Jan 5, 20233 min read


Predicting stock prices: 2023
The consensus view is that stocks will rise modestly in 2023. History has proven one thing – analysts will be wrong!

tim@emorningcoffee.com
Dec 22, 202210 min read


Tesla: as resilient as ever
Love it or hate it, the fact is that Tesla's stock performance has left nearly all peers – tech and automotive – in the dust. Now what?

tim@emorningcoffee.com
Sep 22, 20226 min read


Buy the Dip or Sell the Rip?
Given the poor performance of equities so far this year, I wanted to take a quick high level look at valuations of a number of stocks...

tim@emorningcoffee.com
Jan 27, 202210 min read


Enjoy these stocks if you own them; tread carefully if you don’t
This article looks at recent performance of and valuation metrics of the FAMAG stocks and four others: SHOP, NVDA, TSLA and NFLX.

tim@emorningcoffee.com
Nov 8, 20218 min read
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