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My view on what's going on in the financial markets and the global economy, and a few other things that might interest me from time to time.

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Portfolio update: 1Q2026
This is an update of my 1Q2026 portfolio performance. My all-in return was nil, which was not disappointing (to me at least) given the performance of assets prices in March, following the beginning of the US-Israel war against Iran.

tim@emorningcoffee.com
Apr 167 min read
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Week ended Jan 2, 2026: welcome to the new year!
The last two weeks were rather uneventful, so this is a quick summary of price performance in 2025, and a look ahead to 2026. Are we in a bubble and don't know it?

tim@emorningcoffee.com
Jan 43 min read
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First half 2025: indices and market update
This article contains tables and commentary regarding the rather volatile but ultimately positive first half of 2025.

tim@emorningcoffee.com
Jul 4, 20256 min read
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American Exceptionalism
Better late than never, in that this article is about my views on American exceptionalism, both economically and as far as US stocks.

tim@emorningcoffee.com
Jan 8, 202513 min read
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2024 market and asset performance vs my expectations: how'd I do?
I "guessed" at how markets would perform in 2024 last year at this time. Some I got right, some I got wrong, not different from the pros.

tim@emorningcoffee.com
Dec 31, 20248 min read
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Portfolio update: 1H2024
This is an update of my personal portfolio performance in 2Q2024 and 1H2024, good on the surface but worse than the indices would suggest.

tim@emorningcoffee.com
Jul 24, 20248 min read
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The great reveal: 1H2023 update
This article is an update to an article I penned in February regarding my personal portfolio. For me, it's painful reading!

tim@emorningcoffee.com
Jul 20, 20237 min read
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WEEKLY: Damn glad that's over!
It was a holiday shortened, rather lacklustre week in markets. Good that 2022 is over. FY returns were poor across equities and bonds.

tim@emorningcoffee.com
Dec 31, 20223 min read
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Corporate bonds: why you should care about this market
This is a primer on corporate bonds, investment grade & high yield. It also discusses the pandemic and its effect on the corp bond market.

tim@emorningcoffee.com
Feb 8, 202218 min read
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