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My view on what's going on in the financial markets and the global economy, and a few other things that might interest me from time to time.

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Week ended June 20, 2025: Fed sits tight
None of the three major central banks that had monetary policy meetings this week – including the Fed, the BoE and the BoJ – changed their monetary policy approach, although central banks in Switzerland, Sweden and Norway all eased. Markets remain slightly on edge because of the growing Middle East conflict.

tim@emorningcoffee.com
Jun 207 min read
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Week ended May 9, 2025: Trump says "buy stocks" (again)
Markets continued to stabilise this week, at least as far as risk assets including global equities and BTC. Other assets moved sideways.

tim@emorningcoffee.com
May 86 min read
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Week ended March 21, 2025: US stocks eke out gains
Most focus this week was on the FOMC decision, which was initially viewed as slightly dovish before reality sat in. Markets were mixed.

tim@emorningcoffee.com
Mar 225 min read
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Week ended Feb 7, 2025: markets react to tariff threats, earnings and jobs
Last week was the second week running that the start of the week was characterised by turmoil, this time caused by tariff threats. Mr...

tim@emorningcoffee.com
Feb 85 min read
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Week ended Dec 20, 2024: FOMC projections send markets lower
Confident that another stellar year for U.S. stocks was coming to a close, investors were jolted from their complacency when the Federal...

tim@emorningcoffee.com
Dec 21, 20245 min read
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Week ended Nov 22, 2024: NVDA earnings, US retailers
Equities were better in the US and Europe. UST yields were marginally changed. Gold and Bitcoin soared to record highs. The Dollar was up

tim@emorningcoffee.com
Nov 23, 20246 min read
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Week ended Sept 13, 2024: it was an "everything up" week
It was one of those weeks that if you didn't chalk up portfolio gains, it would be difficult to figure out why. Bonds and stocks rallied.

tim@emorningcoffee.com
Sep 14, 20246 min read
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Will the US dollar remain the global reserve currency?
It is fashionable to espouse the end of the US dollar as the leading global reserve currency, but this will not occur anytime soon.

tim@emorningcoffee.com
Mar 17, 20228 min read
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Is the bond market doing the Fed's dirty work?
The bond market looks to be doing the Fed's dirty work, sending short term yields to post-pandemic highs. Is the Fed being too methodical?

tim@emorningcoffee.com
Oct 20, 20215 min read
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