tim@emorningcoffee.comDec 23, 20235 minWeek ended Dec 22, 2023: Mixed data, markets continue rallyEconomic data remains mixed, but it is clear inflation is slowing in the US and Europe. Investors are all-in on a faster pivot, markets up.
tim@emorningcoffee.comSep 16, 20234 minWeek ended Sept 15, 2023: ARM IPO, ECB rate hike, US inflationThe ARM IPO (fair price), the ECB rate decision ("dovish increase") and US CPI are were relatively neutral to supportive this week.
tim@emorningcoffee.comJul 1, 20236 minWeek ended June 30, 2023: Equity markets on fire!It was a scorching end to a fantastic first half of 2023, if you are long equities. Less so perhaps if you are long bonds. And Apple!!
tim@emorningcoffee.comMar 17, 20228 minWill the US dollar remain the global reserve currency?It is fashionable to espouse the end of the US dollar as the leading global reserve currency, but this will not occur anytime soon.
tim@emorningcoffee.comFeb 28, 20224 minWeek ended February 25th, 2022Russia's invasion of Ukraine moved front & centre, but once the invasion got underway, markets had what might be termed a relief rally.
tim@emorningcoffee.comFeb 12, 20227 minWeek Ended February 11th 2022A week of two halves. Equities performed well for 3 days and then high CPI and hawkish Fed comments clobbered stocks & bonds.
tim@emorningcoffee.comOct 20, 20215 minIs the bond market doing the Fed's dirty work?The bond market looks to be doing the Fed's dirty work, sending short term yields to post-pandemic highs. Is the Fed being too methodical?