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My view on what's going on in the financial markets and the global economy, and a few other things that might interest me from time to time.

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Weeks ended Aug 21 and Aug 28, 2026: not much happening
Not much happened in the dog days of late August, aside from Bitcoin rediscovering its mojo week before last as debasement returned to vogue.

tim@emorningcoffee.com
Aug 303 min read


Week ended May 8, 2026: market remains constructive
I started penning this update with my recurring rant about the antics of the Trump Administration. The daily “war is over” rhetoric coming from the leader of the free world is super-annoying, especially since Iran and the U.S. remain more or less deadlocked, with the Strait of Hormuz closed and no oil flowing through it. But does this really matter anymore, at least to investors? Yes, higher oil prices are hurting consumers (see “Consumer confidence” below) and will rev

tim@emorningcoffee.com
May 96 min read


Week ended March 28, 2025: risk markets falter after more tariffs
Mr Trump's announcement of 25% auto tariffs followed by others in the queue sent stocks spiralling down, and haven assets like gold higher.

tim@emorningcoffee.com
Mar 28, 20256 min read


Take aways from Berkshire Hathaway’s 2023 shareholder meeting
“What gives you opportunities is other people doing dumb things ... In the 58 years we’ve been running Berkshire, I would say there’s...

tim@emorningcoffee.com
May 8, 20236 min read
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