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My view on what's going on in the financial markets and the global economy, and a few other things that might interest me from time to time.

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Week ended June 20, 2025: Fed sits tight
None of the three major central banks that had monetary policy meetings this week – including the Fed, the BoE and the BoJ – changed their monetary policy approach, although central banks in Switzerland, Sweden and Norway all eased. Markets remain slightly on edge because of the growing Middle East conflict.

tim@emorningcoffee.com
Jun 207 min read
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Week ended March 21, 2025: US stocks eke out gains
Most focus this week was on the FOMC decision, which was initially viewed as slightly dovish before reality sat in. Markets were mixed.

tim@emorningcoffee.com
Mar 225 min read
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Week ended Dec 20, 2024: FOMC projections send markets lower
Confident that another stellar year for U.S. stocks was coming to a close, investors were jolted from their complacency when the Federal...

tim@emorningcoffee.com
Dec 21, 20245 min read
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Week ended Nov 1, 2024: UK autumn budget, earnings, economic data
UK autumn budget, earnings galore (including five "Mag 7" companies), and gobs of economic data...just as we lead into the US election!!

tim@emorningcoffee.com
Nov 2, 20247 min read
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Week ended Sept 20, 2024: central bank decisions feature
Last week was mainly about a trifecta of central bank decisions, with most attention focused on the Fed. The Fed Funds rate was reduced .50%

tim@emorningcoffee.com
Sep 21, 20247 min read
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Week ended Sept 13, 2024: it was an "everything up" week
It was one of those weeks that if you didn't chalk up portfolio gains, it would be difficult to figure out why. Bonds and stocks rallied.

tim@emorningcoffee.com
Sep 14, 20246 min read
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Week ended Aug 2, 2024 (and emails during week to subs)
Last week was brilliant for UST investors in duration, and horrible for investors in global equities. Culprits: Mag & and US economic data.

tim@emorningcoffee.com
Aug 3, 202411 min read
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Week ended May 24, 2024: NVDA rallies boosting US stocks
Both equity and bonds were a touch softer last week. Even stellar earnings by NVDA could not completely save the day, although amazing.

tim@emorningcoffee.com
May 25, 20245 min read
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Will the US dollar remain the global reserve currency?
It is fashionable to espouse the end of the US dollar as the leading global reserve currency, but this will not occur anytime soon.

tim@emorningcoffee.com
Mar 17, 20228 min read
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