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My view on what's going on in the financial markets and the global economy, and a few other things that might interest me from time to time.
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Anti-obesity medications part 1: the market for anti-obesity drugs
This article is being published in instalments, of which this is the first, for context. INTRODUCTION Two macrotrends have been drivers...
tim@emorningcoffee.com
Mar 12, 20247 min read
Revisiting gold as an asset class
This is a guest post about gold, penned by online investment firm BullionVault. Gold has just pierced $2,100/oz, reaching a record high.
tim@emorningcoffee.com
Mar 5, 20244 min read
Berkshire Hathaway: 2023 results and the path forward
Berkshire Hathaway released its FY earnings on Sat. As always, there are plenty of juicy nuggets to digest.
tim@emorningcoffee.com
Feb 27, 20249 min read
Revisiting semi-conductors
This article takes a quick look at the semi-conductor value-chain, including chip designers, fabricators and chip machinery makers.
tim@emorningcoffee.com
Feb 20, 20245 min read
Enhancing shareholder value
Looks at ways companies can maximise shareholder value (aside from uttering the words “AI”) including dividends, stock buybacks & layoffs
tim@emorningcoffee.com
Feb 14, 20247 min read
Portfolio update Dec 31, 2023 (4Q23 and FY 2023)
This article provides a 4Q23 update on my personal portfolio. I was conservatively positioned going into an unexpectedly strong quarter.
tim@emorningcoffee.com
Jan 25, 20246 min read
Some investment "thoughts" to start off the new year
2023 was an amazing year for nearly all traditional asset classes around the world. Can this carry-on? This article covers my thoughts.
tim@emorningcoffee.com
Jan 2, 202431 min read
Spending your retirement savings
I wrote about portfolio allocation pre-retirement a few weeks ago. This article is about “sizing” your drawdowns after you retire.
tim@emorningcoffee.com
Dec 7, 20238 min read
Personal portfolio allocation
This article is about the allocation of yours savings across different asset classes to maximise returns given your risk profile
tim@emorningcoffee.com
Nov 30, 20237 min read
Happiness and wealth
Happiness is the prize, wealth can be a by-product by following a few simple rules, and starting early in life.
tim@emorningcoffee.com
Nov 15, 20234 min read
A break from financial markets commentary
Matthew Perry's passing has deeply affected many people who came to know and love his endearing character on "Friends."
tim@emorningcoffee.com
Nov 2, 20235 min read
3Q2023 portfolio update
The 3Q23 was not good for stocks and bonds, reflected in the returns in my own portfolio. But returns YtD have been decent enough.
tim@emorningcoffee.com
Oct 26, 20234 min read
Deficits spiral, Congress disappoints
The decision-making ability of Congress is poor and getting worse, just as US deficits spiral higher and higher. Something needs to be done
tim@emorningcoffee.com
Oct 9, 20237 min read
Guns or butter?
"Guns or butter" is a macroeconomic concept regarding govt budget allocation, but this article is about similar consumer decisions.
tim@emorningcoffee.com
Sep 20, 20235 min read
Jobs reports: are US jobs trending in the right direction?
This article is about jobs, more specifically, what is the key data? And what does the most recent data suggest about the future?
tim@emorningcoffee.com
Sep 7, 20237 min read
Social Security: crash and burn?
The US Social Security trust fund is expected to be depleted by 2033/4. Why, and what does this mean for me? How does Soc Security work?
tim@emorningcoffee.com
Aug 30, 20239 min read
FitchRatings downgrades the US: does anyone care?
FitchRatings downgraded the US to AA+ on Tuesday, triggering a harsh response from the Biden Administration but nonchalance from investors.
tim@emorningcoffee.com
Aug 4, 20235 min read
Wrong (so far)....but the Street has been, too
Seven months into the year, many of my Y/E forecasts for indices and other assets look like they will be wrong. I am in good company!
tim@emorningcoffee.com
Aug 2, 20234 min read
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