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My view on what's going on in the financial markets and the global economy, and a few other things that might interest me from time to time.
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tim@emorningcoffee.com
Jul 20, 20237 min read
The great reveal: 1H2023 update
This article is an update to an article I penned in February regarding my personal portfolio. For me, it's painful reading!
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tim@emorningcoffee.com
Jun 6, 20234 min read
OPEC+ is at it again
This past weekend, OPEC+ jumped back into action to address falling oil prices by curtailing supply. In fact, as we now have learned, it...
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tim@emorningcoffee.com
May 30, 20233 min read
BIPs, RIPs and CHIPs
Get ready for the next FOMC meeting and a market rip following the debt ceiling agreement. Want to better understand semiconductors?
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tim@emorningcoffee.com
May 15, 20237 min read
FINANCE 101: The rationale for retirement savings plans
This article discusses the rationale for establishing retirement savings, the sooner the better. Corp plans are especially attractive.
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tim@emorningcoffee.com
May 8, 20236 min read
Take aways from Berkshire Hathaway’s 2023 shareholder meeting
“What gives you opportunities is other people doing dumb things ... In the 58 years we’ve been running Berkshire, I would say there’s...
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tim@emorningcoffee.com
May 2, 20236 min read
Decisions, decisions, decisions: inflation and consumer preferences
Headline inflation might be on the way down, but it is declining very slowly in the US and the EU, and remains in double-digits in the...
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tim@emorningcoffee.com
Apr 28, 20236 min read
FINANCE 101: Savings and the time value of money
This is the first of FINANCE 101 topics, a series of articles re the basics of personal investing and financial management.
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tim@emorningcoffee.com
Apr 24, 20237 min read
The US debt ceiling debacle
The debt ceiling is front & centre as the date the US Treasury runs out of cash is drawing dangerously near. Here's my two cents, enjoy!
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tim@emorningcoffee.com
Apr 5, 20234 min read
S&P 500 1Q2023: Tech stars dominate (again)
Tech companies drove the 7% return of the S&P 500 in the 1Q23. Without the "magnificent seven", the index would have been flattish.
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tim@emorningcoffee.com
Mar 13, 202312 min read
The end of Silicon Valley Bank
Silicon Valley Bank went from fine to dead in less than 48 hours. Why and how? Could it have been prevented? What now?
2020
tim@emorningcoffee.com
Feb 27, 20236 min read
Stock repurchases (thanks Mr Buffet)
In his Letter to Shareholders, Mr Buffet raised the issue of the 1% excise tax on stock repurchases, a bad idea. I think he is right!
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tim@emorningcoffee.com
Feb 23, 20237 min read
The Great Reveal
Since I write a lot about markets and macroeconomic topics, it is only fair that I talk about my own investment portfolio.
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tim@emorningcoffee.com
Feb 14, 20237 min read
Stocks - do they always go up?
Stocks do not always go up over shorter periods, but they do over longer periods. This article provides empirical support, see for yourself
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tim@emorningcoffee.com
Feb 8, 20235 min read
Earnings (so far): good or bad?
Earnings for S&P 500 companies have been "better-than-expected" so far. Does this tell the whole story? Stocks are ripping anyway!
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tim@emorningcoffee.com
Jan 27, 20234 min read
Economic outlook vs stock prices
Economic data is mixed. Cautious corporate and cautious bank outlooks are causing anxiety, but are not keeping stock markets from rallying
480
tim@emorningcoffee.com
Jan 23, 20232 min read
FAMAG (+TSLA) quarterly earnings: everything you need to know
The five mega-tech FAMAG names start reporting their quarterly earnings ended Dec 30th, 2022, this week. I also included TSLA.
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tim@emorningcoffee.com
Jan 5, 20233 min read
My 2023 year-end guesses
The Street pros provide year-end 2023 projections for stocks and bonds, so why not EMC? Here are my guesstimates and rationales.
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tim@emorningcoffee.com
Dec 31, 20223 min read
WEEKLY: Damn glad that's over!
It was a holiday shortened, rather lacklustre week in markets. Good that 2022 is over. FY returns were poor across equities and bonds.
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