tim@emorningcoffee.com
FOMO, TINA, YOLO and the Fed
Don't look to fundamentals to explain equity prices today – look to attitudes embedded in acronyms. And don't forget the super-easy Fed!
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My view on what's going on in the financial markets and the global economy, and a few other things that might interest me from time to time.
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tim@emorningcoffee.com
- Nov 8, 2021
- 8 min
Enjoy these stocks if you own them; tread carefully if you don’t
This article looks at recent performance of and valuation metrics of the FAMAG stocks and four others: SHOP, NVDA, TSLA and NFLX.
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tim@emorningcoffee.com
- Oct 20, 2021
- 5 min
Is the bond market doing the Fed's dirty work?
The bond market looks to be doing the Fed's dirty work, sending short term yields to post-pandemic highs. Is the Fed being too methodical?
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tim@emorningcoffee.com
- Oct 8, 2021
- 4 min
About that transitory inflation........
I continue to believe that inflation will be transitory, but supply-push inflation will cause inflation to be higher longer.
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tim@emorningcoffee.com
- May 21
- 3 min
Week ended May 19, 2023
Not a lot of news this week aside from the debt ceiling discussions and earnings from US retailers Walmart, Home Depot and Target.
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tim@emorningcoffee.com
- May 13
- 4 min
Week ended May 12, 2023
[GO STRAIGHT TO THE TABLES] MARKETS SUMMARY Stocks didn’t do much week-over-week although the general trend was down. Japanese equities...
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tim@emorningcoffee.com
- May 6
- 5 min
Week ended May 5, 2023: Now what?
Mixed data week but generally suggesting resilient US jobs market. Fed and ECB hike, Apple delivers the goods. Equities slightly weaker.
250
tim@emorningcoffee.com
- Apr 29
- 5 min
Week ended April 28, 2023: Big tech serves up the numbers
This week was about big tech earnings, which did not disappoint, and economic data, which suggested a slowing economy but stubborn inflation
390
tim@emorningcoffee.com
- Apr 22
- 4 min
Going nowhere fast: week ended April 21, 2023
Week ended April 21, 2023 [GO STRAIGHT TO THE TABLES] THINGS THAT CAUGHT MY EYE THIS WEEK U.K. economic data and consumer confidence The...
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tim@emorningcoffee.com
- Apr 15
- 4 min
Week ended April 14, 2023
Bank earnings better-than-expected, inflation slowing Stateside. Investors mixed, with equities higher and bond prices lower. Credit stable
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tim@emorningcoffee.com
- Apr 8
- 4 min
Week ended April 7, 2023
It was a holiday shortened week devoid of direction, with economic data providing a mixed picture. Oil, gold higher. Equities weaker.
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tim@emorningcoffee.com
- Apr 1
- 5 min
Week ended March 31, 2023
Risk markets ended a solid first quarter, as stocks and bonds rallied. The wind feels as if it is at our back as risk assets power forward.
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tim@emorningcoffee.com
- Mar 25
- 5 min
Week ended March 24, 2023
Concerns about banking arguably subsided as the week wore on, with Fed and BoE rate decisions taking centre stage. Risk assets better bid.
240
tim@emorningcoffee.com
- Mar 19
- 6 min
Musings to start the week (and it's all about banks)
UBS was seemingly strong-armed into a stock-for-stock acquisition of CS, ending that saga. What does this mean for global banking system?
390
tim@emorningcoffee.com
- Mar 18
- 5 min
Week ended March 17, 2023
Bank concerns continue even as solutions were put forth for First Republic and CS. NASDAQ and Bitcoin rally, other markets signal risk off
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tim@emorningcoffee.com
- Mar 15
- 7 min
Moral hazard following SIVB
The Fed, Treasury and FIDC took two steps last Sunday to address the SIVB situation. Are these effectively a form or moral hazard?
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tim@emorningcoffee.com
- Mar 11
- 4 min
WEEKLY: Regulatory takeover of SIVB steals the show
In a week full of economic data and news, the take-over of Silicon Valley Bank by the FDIC spurred a risk-off attitude, with USTs gaining.
390
tim@emorningcoffee.com
- Mar 4
- 4 min
WEEKLY: Much ado about nothing
Earnings season ended and data was sparse. Equities rallied, gaining in the US for the first time in 4 weeks. Bond yields rose.
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