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My view on what's going on in the financial markets and the global economy, and a few other things that might interest me from time to time.

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Week Ended August 7th and the Week Ahead
Performance of key global equity indices, the corp credit market, "safe haven" assets, earnings, economies and CV19.

tim@emorningcoffee.com
Aug 9, 202010 min read


Week Ended July 31 and the Week Ahead
Gold was up 3.9% last week, closing July up 11% for the month as this “store of value” increasingly finds favour with investors.

tim@emorningcoffee.com
Aug 2, 20209 min read


Week Ended July 24th and the Week Ahead
The EU-27 agreed a €750 billion fiscal stimulus plan for the union, a milestone in its history.

tim@emorningcoffee.com
Jul 26, 20209 min read


My (Bad) Experience with Momentum Stocks
This article is somewhat personal in that it reveals my own mistakes with well-known momentum stocks like Tesla, Zoom and Netflix.

tim@emorningcoffee.com
Jul 22, 202012 min read


Week Ended July 17 and the Week Ahead
This is a recap of last week's equity & credit markets, and also covers safe haven assets (e.g. gold), oil, earnings and economic news.

tim@emorningcoffee.com
Jul 19, 20209 min read


The SoftBank Vision Fund: Trials and Tribulations
The SoftBank Vision Fund has had an interesting albeit short history, as the world's largest venture capital firm.

tim@emorningcoffee.com
Jul 16, 202023 min read


Week Ended July 10th and the Week Ahead
Equity markets were slightly more subdued last week, but not in the U.S., where the S&P 500 notched another weekly gain of 1.8%.

tim@emorningcoffee.com
Jul 12, 20206 min read


Week Ended July 3rd and the Week Ahead
Equity markets were generally better last week, especially in the U.S. Credit, gold and oil were all better. CV19 in the U.S. rages on.

tim@emorningcoffee.com
Jul 5, 20208 min read


Dinner Table Economics: Global Population
108 billion people have been born since the beginning of the “modern” human race around 50,000 years, and 7.2% of those are alive today!

tim@emorningcoffee.com
Jul 1, 20209 min read


Week Ended June 26th and the Week Ahead
Equity and credit indices weakened, with Friday being particularly harsh. Safe haven assets rallied. Oil weakened. Growth revised down.

tim@emorningcoffee.com
Jun 28, 20208 min read


Dr Jeremy Siegel discusses the economy, the equity market and CV19
This post is a summary of two recent presentations by Dr Jeremy Siegel of Wharton, in which he discusses the economy, stock market and CV19.

tim@emorningcoffee.com
Jun 25, 202012 min read


Week Ended June 19th and the Week Ahead
Week ended June 19th: global equities and credit were better; gold and oil higher, USTs and USD weaker; CV19 news mixed. BoE steps up QE

tim@emorningcoffee.com
Jun 21, 20208 min read


Dinner Table Economics: What is GDP?
This is the first of a series Entitled "Dinner Table Economics", and looks at the meaning and use of Gross Domestic Product, or GDP.

tim@emorningcoffee.com
Jun 18, 20207 min read


Week Ended June 12th and the Week Ahead
This is a look back at last week including equity and credit markets, safe haven assets, oil, economic events and CV19.

tim@emorningcoffee.com
Jun 14, 20208 min read


Part 2 (of 2): The arguments as to why the S&P 500 is too high
This article is the #bear case for the #equity #markets, the opposite view I discussed in an article last week.

tim@emorningcoffee.com
Jun 11, 202012 min read


Week Ended June 5th and the Week Ahead
Equities, credit and oil are continued up last week, and safe haven assets fell. It's risk on, as economic stimulus improves the outlook.

tim@emorningcoffee.com
Jun 8, 20207 min read


Part 1 (of 2): The Case For the Stock Market Recovery
This is the first of two articles on the amazing recovery of the #S&P500 during the CV19 pandemic. I present seven reasons in support.

tim@emorningcoffee.com
Jun 5, 20208 min read


Last Week and the Week Ahead (June 1-5)
Global equity and credit markets continue their march upwards; haven assets flattish; oil up; earnings and economic news in line; CV19 updat

tim@emorningcoffee.com
Jun 1, 20207 min read
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