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My view on what's going on in the financial markets and the global economy, and a few other things that might interest me from time to time.

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Week Ended November 19th, 2021
Weekly update for the past week, ended Nov 19th 2021. Bitcoin and oil were the big losers, with stocks mixed but showed modest gains.

tim@emorningcoffee.com
Nov 19, 20216 min read


Week Ended November 12th, 2021
“The secret to investing is to figure out the value of something – and then pay a lot less.” Joel Greenblatt, Managing Principal and...

tim@emorningcoffee.com
Nov 13, 20215 min read


The Infrastructure Investment and Jobs Act
Update of the Infrastructure Investment and Jobs Act, just passed by the House and expected to be signed in law by President Biden next week

tim@emorningcoffee.com
Nov 11, 20213 min read


Week Ended November 5th, 2021
The Fed and BoE play along, with their dovish policies pushing USTs and Gilt prices higher and causing global equities to rock!

tim@emorningcoffee.com
Nov 6, 20216 min read


The Virginia Gubernatorial Election
Democratic majorities in Congress look fleeting following Mr Youngkin's (R) surprise win in blue state of VA on Tuesday.

tim@emorningcoffee.com
Nov 4, 20214 min read


Week Ended October 29th, 2021
FAMAG/other corp earnings/news, US 3Q21 GDP, UK '22 budget, ECB rate decision, Biden fiscal plan, G20 / COP26 meetings..lots to move markets

tim@emorningcoffee.com
Oct 30, 20218 min read


Week Ended October 22, 2021
This week did not have a lot of economic news, but a combination of earnings, the first Bitcoin ETF and two interesting SPACs featured.

tim@emorningcoffee.com
Oct 22, 20216 min read


Week Ended October 15th, 2021: Goldilocks is back!
What a week! Equities bounce back with a vengeance as a combination of neural-to-good economic news and strong bank earnings are catalysts.

tim@emorningcoffee.com
Oct 16, 20213 min read


Where we are.....what to do?
What are your assumptions about the current economic parameters affecting investors? Which investments make sense and which do not?

tim@emorningcoffee.com
Oct 12, 20212 min read


Week ended October 8, 2021: Debt ceiling crisis deferred (for now)
Weekly update, looking at the debt ceiling (can kicked down road), dismal Monday, mixed jobs report, UST (+UK/Eurozone govt bonds) hammered.

tim@emorningcoffee.com
Oct 9, 20214 min read


Week ended October 1st 2021
Weekly update: equities stumble (again) ending the worst month since the pandemic. Govt bonds sell off too. Credit weakens, oil increases.

tim@emorningcoffee.com
Oct 2, 20215 min read


I'm just not feeling it.....
Cracks in equity and bond markets are becoming more visible....will central banks continue to protect equity investors?

tim@emorningcoffee.com
Sep 30, 20215 min read


Week Ended Sept 24th, 2021: Equities claw back Monday's sharp losses
The week started poorly but by the end of the week, the Fed had provided just enough fuel to stoke on buy-the-dip investors.

tim@emorningcoffee.com
Sep 25, 20214 min read


FOMC and Chairman Powell Press Conference: “Much ado about nothing”
The Federal Reserve released the minutes from its FOMC meeting Sept 21-22 on Wednesday afternoon. The press release is here. Should you...

tim@emorningcoffee.com
Sep 23, 20213 min read


China Evergrande Group: What now?
All eyes are currently focused on China Evergrande Group (“Evergrande”), the largest (or second largest, depending on source) property...

tim@emorningcoffee.com
Sep 20, 20217 min read


Week ended Sept 17th 2021: US CPI & retail sales, and Evergrande feature
US CPI and retail sales featured this week, along with growing concerns re Chinese property developer Evergrande.

tim@emorningcoffee.com
Sep 18, 20214 min read


Week ended Sept 10 2021: US equities fade
US equities were weaker whilst equities in Japan and China were up sharply. Bitcoin was down 10%, USTs little changed. Rather quiet week.

tim@emorningcoffee.com
Sep 11, 20214 min read


A look back at returns during the pandemic
This article looks at asset returns across various equity indices (US and global) and other asset classes during the pandemic and longer.

tim@emorningcoffee.com
Sep 7, 20218 min read
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