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My view on what's going on in the financial markets and the global economy, and a few other things that might interest me from time to time.
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Week ended March 18th 2022
There were no massive surprises this past week as the Fed and BoE did just as expected, and the war in Ukraine unfortunately ground on.
tim@emorningcoffee.com
Mar 20, 20227 min read
Week ended March 11, 2022
It was another volatile week although the direction was fairly clear as investors continued to exit equities and bonds. Inflation is back!
tim@emorningcoffee.com
Mar 12, 20226 min read
Week Ended March 4th 2022
Ukraine-Russia conflict dominates news, although inflation data in the Eurozone and US continues to be red hot. Investors don't care!
tim@emorningcoffee.com
Mar 5, 20225 min read
Week ended February 25th, 2022
Russia's invasion of Ukraine moved front & centre, but once the invasion got underway, markets had what might be termed a relief rally.
tim@emorningcoffee.com
Feb 28, 20224 min read
Week ended February 18th 2022
This week was dominated by geopolitical news around Ukraine and Russia. Uncertainty led to a flow out of risk assets and into safe havens.
tim@emorningcoffee.com
Feb 19, 20226 min read
Week Ended February 11th 2022
A week of two halves. Equities performed well for 3 days and then high CPI and hawkish Fed comments clobbered stocks & bonds.
tim@emorningcoffee.com
Feb 12, 20227 min read
Week ended February 4th 2022
Equities ended up thanks to GOOG and AMZN, and to a strong jobs report on Friday. The BoE raised its Bank Rate, and the ECB stood still.
tim@emorningcoffee.com
Feb 5, 20228 min read
Week Ended January 28th 2022
What a week this was! Equities were all over the place rattled by the Fed's Q&A (post-FOMC mins), and buffeted by earnings from MSFT & AAPL
tim@emorningcoffee.com
Jan 29, 20228 min read
Week ended January 21st, 2022
This is a update of the 3rd week of 2022, another highly volatile and unsettling week covering global equities, govt bonds and other assets.
tim@emorningcoffee.com
Jan 22, 20227 min read
Week ended January 14th 2022
This week was similar to the last – UST yields were higher and stocks (mostly) got clobbered, aside from the energy-heavy FTSE and EM.
tim@emorningcoffee.com
Jan 15, 20224 min read
FAMAG Stocks Still Matter.....A Lot
Update on the FAMAG stocks (+TSLA, NVDA), an amazing group of stocks. These cos are important contributors to the S&P 500.
tim@emorningcoffee.com
Jan 12, 20223 min read
Week Ended January 7th 2022
It was a shaky start to 2022, with both equities and bonds getting hammered as sentiment soured and the Fed's hawkish tilt gained momentum.
tim@emorningcoffee.com
Jan 9, 20225 min read
Week ended December 31, 2021
This is the year-end weekly update, and what a year it was! Nearly everything worked as far as risk assets. But what does 2022 bestow?
tim@emorningcoffee.com
Jan 1, 20225 min read
Week ended December 17th, 2021
Focus this past week was on four of the world's major central banks, which provided the latest glimpse into the path of monetary policy.
tim@emorningcoffee.com
Dec 18, 20217 min read
Week ended December 10th 2021
What a difference a few days make! We are solidly risk-on now, as conviction increased throughout the week. Equities had strong returns.
tim@emorningcoffee.com
Dec 11, 20217 min read
Week ended December 3rd, 2021
It was a highly volatile week in equity and government bond markets, with equities and short-dated USTs selling off sharply.
tim@emorningcoffee.com
Dec 4, 20216 min read
Three books worth reading
One of the many things that I have enjoyed doing since I left the grind of working at large financial institutions is reading things...
tim@emorningcoffee.com
Nov 30, 202110 min read
Week Ended November 26th, 2021
This week was all about Friday, as global equities were hammered after news of the new COVID variant. It was squarely risk-off in markets.
tim@emorningcoffee.com
Nov 27, 20217 min read
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