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My view on what's going on in the financial markets and the global economy, and a few other things that might interest me from time to time.

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Week ended Aug 1, 2025: more trade uncertainty, weak jobs report
We were largely struggling but at least moving sideways until Friday, when the twin negative effects of a new tariffs and a weaker-than-expected jobs report pulled the rug from underneath investor sentiment. Risk assets faltered and safe haven assets rallied. Ouch!!

tim@emorningcoffee.com
Jul 31, 20256 min read


Week ended Sept 27, 2024: China delivers stimulus, PCE data in line
Chinese stimulus measures buoyed stocks globally, and US Treasuries were stable. Gold paused and oil fell. The Dollar was weaker.

tim@emorningcoffee.com
Sep 28, 20245 min read


Week ended Nov 10, 2023
US stocks were stopped in their tracks by higher yields on Thurs (poor 30y UST auction), but resumed their upward trajectory the next day.

tim@emorningcoffee.com
Nov 12, 20236 min read


Week ended Aug 4, 2023: It's August!
[GO STRAIGHT TO THE TABLES] We’re now into August, a normally lower-volume month, and often not the best month for equities. The table...

tim@emorningcoffee.com
Aug 6, 20234 min read


The end of Silicon Valley Bank
Silicon Valley Bank went from fine to dead in less than 48 hours. Why and how? Could it have been prevented? What now?

tim@emorningcoffee.com
Mar 13, 202312 min read


Week ended August 26th 2022
At the economic symposium, Fed chair Powell presented a committed focus to snuff out inflation. Global growth is slowing, inflation high.

tim@emorningcoffee.com
Aug 27, 20228 min read
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