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My view on what's going on in the financial markets and the global economy, and a few other things that might interest me from time to time.

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Week ended Aug 1, 2025: more trade uncertainty, weak jobs report
We were largely struggling but at least moving sideways until Friday, when the twin negative effects of a new tariffs and a weaker-than-expected jobs report pulled the rug from underneath investor sentiment. Risk assets faltered and safe haven assets rallied. Ouch!!

tim@emorningcoffee.com
Jul 316 min read
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Week ended Sept 27, 2024: China delivers stimulus, PCE data in line
Chinese stimulus measures buoyed stocks globally, and US Treasuries were stable. Gold paused and oil fell. The Dollar was weaker.

tim@emorningcoffee.com
Sep 28, 20245 min read
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Week ended Nov 10, 2023
US stocks were stopped in their tracks by higher yields on Thurs (poor 30y UST auction), but resumed their upward trajectory the next day.

tim@emorningcoffee.com
Nov 12, 20236 min read
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Week ended Aug 4, 2023: It's August!
[GO STRAIGHT TO THE TABLES] We’re now into August, a normally lower-volume month, and often not the best month for equities. The table...

tim@emorningcoffee.com
Aug 6, 20234 min read
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The end of Silicon Valley Bank
Silicon Valley Bank went from fine to dead in less than 48 hours. Why and how? Could it have been prevented? What now?

tim@emorningcoffee.com
Mar 13, 202312 min read
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Week ended August 26th 2022
At the economic symposium, Fed chair Powell presented a committed focus to snuff out inflation. Global growth is slowing, inflation high.

tim@emorningcoffee.com
Aug 27, 20228 min read
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