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My view on what's going on in the financial markets and the global economy, and a few other things that might interest me from time to time.

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Week ended July 18, 2025: US economic data and corporate earnings solid
Concerns regarding tariffs and trade rhetoric faded a bit in the second half of the week in the U.S., which gave way to decent economic data and a strong start to the earnings season. The S&P 500 and NASDAQ hit record highs (again). Yields were under modest pressure at the long end of the curve.

tim@emorningcoffee.com
Jul 184 min read
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First quarter 2025 review of markets
The 1Q2025 is in the bag, not an easy quarter. US stocks performed poorly, but gold and European stocks did well. Treasuries also did ok.

tim@emorningcoffee.com
Mar 312 min read
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Week ended March 21, 2025: US stocks eke out gains
Most focus this week was on the FOMC decision, which was initially viewed as slightly dovish before reality sat in. Markets were mixed.

tim@emorningcoffee.com
Mar 225 min read
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Week ended Feb 21, 2025: stocks slip and bonds improve
For investors, it is not easy staying focused these days on the substantive economic and business data that matter for your portfolio....

tim@emorningcoffee.com
Feb 216 min read
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Week ended Feb 7, 2025: markets react to tariff threats, earnings and jobs
Last week was the second week running that the start of the week was characterised by turmoil, this time caused by tariff threats. Mr...

tim@emorningcoffee.com
Feb 85 min read
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Week ended Nov 1, 2024: UK autumn budget, earnings, economic data
UK autumn budget, earnings galore (including five "Mag 7" companies), and gobs of economic data...just as we lead into the US election!!

tim@emorningcoffee.com
Nov 2, 20247 min read
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Week ended July 19, 2024: stocks and bonds sell off
Markets were jittery much of the week, with the rotation out of tech continuing in the US. US Treasuries were also under pressure.

tim@emorningcoffee.com
Jul 20, 20244 min read
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Week ended June 21, 2024
European and most US equity indices better, with UST yields widening across the curve. Focus in on elections in the UK and Europe.

tim@emorningcoffee.com
Jun 22, 20246 min read
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Wrong (so far)....but the Street has been, too
Seven months into the year, many of my Y/E forecasts for indices and other assets look like they will be wrong. I am in good company!

tim@emorningcoffee.com
Aug 2, 20234 min read
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