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My view on what's going on in the financial markets and the global economy, and a few other things that might interest me from time to time.

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Week ended Sept 29, 2023 (end of 3Q)
Dismal end to a dismal quarter, with stocks down and bonds getting hammered. US govt shutdown, US housing market and UST market worries.

tim@emorningcoffee.com
Sep 30, 20237 min read


Week ended Sept 22, 2023: Central bank trifecta, recent IPOs
The central bank trifecta this week unfolded largely as expected. US bonds and equities puked on the Fed's "higher for longer".

tim@emorningcoffee.com
Sep 23, 20236 min read


Week ended Sept 15, 2023: ARM IPO, ECB rate hike, US inflation
The ARM IPO (fair price), the ECB rate decision ("dovish increase") and US CPI are were relatively neutral to supportive this week.

tim@emorningcoffee.com
Sep 16, 20234 min read


Week ended Sept 8 2023: stocks and bonds sag (again)
Stocks and bonds sagged again this week, as overall sentiment remains fragile. Apple and corporate bond supply might have been culprits too

tim@emorningcoffee.com
Sep 10, 20234 min read


Week ended Sept 1, 2023: Good enough
The perfect storm of economic news cheered bond and stock investors, with asset prices rising across the board in the US. RoW less clear.

tim@emorningcoffee.com
Sep 2, 20234 min read


Week ended Aug 25th 2023: Nvidia, Jackson Hole and real interest rates
Rather uneventful week in markets although equities generally better and yields a touch wider. Focus was on Jackson Hole, NVDA and rates.

tim@emorningcoffee.com
Aug 26, 20236 min read


Week ended August 18, 2023: China and USTs steal thunder
This week was quiet although the slow drift lower for equities and bonds continued. China's economy and higher UST yields were the focus.

tim@emorningcoffee.com
Aug 20, 20235 min read


Week ended August 11, 2023: rather boring
Dullsville although markets did gyrate a bit, with equities and bonds lower, the USD, credit and oil better. US inflation bang on.

tim@emorningcoffee.com
Aug 12, 20235 min read


Week ended Aug 4, 2023: It's August!
[GO STRAIGHT TO THE TABLES] We’re now into August, a normally lower-volume month, and often not the best month for equities. The table...

tim@emorningcoffee.com
Aug 6, 20234 min read
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