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My view on what's going on in the financial markets and the global economy, and a few other things that might interest me from time to time.

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Week ended Dec 29, 2023: end of year (short) edition
We ended the year very much along the themes that drove 4Q23. Equities and government bonds were better bid across the board. 2024??

tim@emorningcoffee.com
Dec 30, 20233 min read
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Week ended Dec 22, 2023: Mixed data, markets continue rally
Economic data remains mixed, but it is clear inflation is slowing in the US and Europe. Investors are all-in on a faster pivot, markets up.

tim@emorningcoffee.com
Dec 23, 20235 min read
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Week ended Dec 15, 2023: Fed serves up a cream puff
The Fed breaks ranks for some reason and suggests a nearer-than-expected pivot which sent stocks and bonds soaring.

tim@emorningcoffee.com
Dec 16, 20237 min read
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Week ended Dec 8, 2023: eyes on central bank policy meetings
It was a week of mixed economic news in the US, with a strong labor market clobbering the short end of the UST curve. Equities didn't care.

tim@emorningcoffee.com
Dec 9, 20236 min read
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Week ended Dec 1, 2023: all systems go (for now)
There was enough sad news this week, but it certainly didn’t make a dent in sentiment as stocks and bonds continue to rally hard.

tim@emorningcoffee.com
Dec 2, 20238 min read
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Week ended Nov 24, 2023: equities grind higher
Although the advance in equities slowed, it certainly did not stop even as yields pushed higher off of better-than-expected PMI data.

tim@emorningcoffee.com
Nov 25, 20235 min read
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Week ended Nov 17, 2023: stocks and bonds rally
Stocks and bonds rallied hard this week, with stocks first getting a boost from better-than-expected earnings, and then by disinflation data

tim@emorningcoffee.com
Nov 18, 20238 min read
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Week ended Nov 10, 2023
US stocks were stopped in their tracks by higher yields on Thurs (poor 30y UST auction), but resumed their upward trajectory the next day.

tim@emorningcoffee.com
Nov 12, 20236 min read
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Week ended Nov 3, 2023: stocks and bonds rally hard
Stocks and bonds were on fire this week, a rare occurrence recently. "Bad news is good news" resonated as data showed a slowing US economy

tim@emorningcoffee.com
Nov 4, 20236 min read
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