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My view on what's going on in the financial markets and the global economy, and a few other things that might interest me from time to time.
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3Q2023 portfolio update
The 3Q23 was not good for stocks and bonds, reflected in the returns in my own portfolio. But returns YtD have been decent enough.
tim@emorningcoffee.com
Oct 26, 20234 min read
Jobs reports: are US jobs trending in the right direction?
This article is about jobs, more specifically, what is the key data? And what does the most recent data suggest about the future?
tim@emorningcoffee.com
Sep 7, 20237 min read
FitchRatings downgrades the US: does anyone care?
FitchRatings downgraded the US to AA+ on Tuesday, triggering a harsh response from the Biden Administration but nonchalance from investors.
tim@emorningcoffee.com
Aug 4, 20235 min read
Wrong (so far)....but the Street has been, too
Seven months into the year, many of my Y/E forecasts for indices and other assets look like they will be wrong. I am in good company!
tim@emorningcoffee.com
Aug 2, 20234 min read
The great reveal: 1H2023 update
This article is an update to an article I penned in February regarding my personal portfolio. For me, it's painful reading!
tim@emorningcoffee.com
Jul 20, 20237 min read
OPEC+ is at it again
This past weekend, OPEC+ jumped back into action to address falling oil prices by curtailing supply. In fact, as we now have learned, it...
tim@emorningcoffee.com
Jun 6, 20234 min read
BIPs, RIPs and CHIPs
Get ready for the next FOMC meeting and a market rip following the debt ceiling agreement. Want to better understand semiconductors?
tim@emorningcoffee.com
May 30, 20233 min read
Take aways from Berkshire Hathaway’s 2023 shareholder meeting
“What gives you opportunities is other people doing dumb things ... In the 58 years we’ve been running Berkshire, I would say there’s...
tim@emorningcoffee.com
May 8, 20236 min read
S&P 500 1Q2023: Tech stars dominate (again)
Tech companies drove the 7% return of the S&P 500 in the 1Q23. Without the "magnificent seven", the index would have been flattish.
tim@emorningcoffee.com
Apr 5, 20234 min read
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