tim@emorningcoffee.com
Week ended Dec 6, 2024: risk markets and USTs better, Bitcoin soars to record
Stocks reached more record highs in the US, but Asian and European stocks outperformed. UST yields slightly lower. Bitcoin soars to record
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My view on what's going on in the financial markets and the global economy, and a few other things that might interest me from time to time.
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tim@emorningcoffee.com
Nov 303 min read
Week ended Nov 29, 2024: US stocks and bonds soar
US stocks and bonds soar. Yields were lower across the maturity curve. Gold, the US Dollar and oil fell, and the Yen strengthened.
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tim@emorningcoffee.com
Nov 2711 min read
A quick look at MicroStrategy (MSTR)
MicroStrategy (MSTR) has had an amazing run since it adopted its Bitcoin accumulation strategy in Aug 2020. Has it run too far too fast?
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tim@emorningcoffee.com
Nov 125 min read
Does the "Trump rally" have legs?
Some stocks that clearly "track" President-elect Trump's varied campaign promises have rallied hard, including TSLA, BTC, COIN and KRE.
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tim@emorningcoffee.com
Nov 73 min read
The US election aftermath: the morning after
This article is short and covers the blowout results and reasons, what Trump 2.0 means for investors, and Mr Trump's promises.
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tim@emorningcoffee.com
Nov 34 min read
The US election: things you should know
Here are a few last-minute thoughts on the US election which will be held on Tuesday, Nov 5. A lot is at stake, but Weds, the world goes on
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tim@emorningcoffee.com
Oct 99 min read
Portfolio update: 3Q2024
This is the update of my personal portfolio for the most recent quarter ended September 30, 2024.
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tim@emorningcoffee.com
Sep 2510 min read
Three key election issues: immigration, inflation and abortion
There are many important issues in the US Presidential election, but none more so perhaps than immigration, inflation, and abortion.
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tim@emorningcoffee.com
Jul 248 min read
Portfolio update: 1H2024
This is an update of my personal portfolio performance in 2Q2024 and 1H2024, good on the surface but worse than the indices would suggest.
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tim@emorningcoffee.com
Jun 256 min read
US deficits / debt soar; should you care?
US deficits are soaring, along with US debt to finance the "exceptional growth" of the US. Can this continue?
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tim@emorningcoffee.com
Jun 127 min read
Midweek update: Apple, CPI/FOMC, GME
We have some US data coming that might matter today (CPI), but the FOMC will sit tight (also today). Discusses Apple's run and GameStop.
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tim@emorningcoffee.com
May 214 min read
Is fine wine a good investment?
The 2024 en primeur campaign for Bordeaux is just starting. But is fine wine really a good investment? I don't think so anymore.
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tim@emorningcoffee.com
Apr 108 min read
Portfolio update: 1Q2024
This is an update about my personal portfolio during and at the end of 1Q2024. It also discusses performance which I consider disappointing.
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tim@emorningcoffee.com
Mar 188 min read
Anti-obesity medications: part 3, valuations of LLY and NVO
This is the 3rd and final article focused on anti-obesity drugs. It looks at valuations of shares of the two giants in this biz, LLY & NVO.
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tim@emorningcoffee.com
Mar 147 min read
Anti-obesity medications part 2: the duopoly of Eli Lilly and Novo Nordisk
Eli Lilly (LLY) and Novo Nordisk (NVO) have been large players for decades in the market for diabetes medications and are currently...
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tim@emorningcoffee.com
Mar 127 min read
Anti-obesity medications part 1: the market for anti-obesity drugs
This article is being published in instalments, of which this is the first, for context. INTRODUCTION Two macrotrends have been drivers...
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tim@emorningcoffee.com
Mar 54 min read
Revisiting gold as an asset class
This is a guest post about gold, penned by online investment firm BullionVault. Gold has just pierced $2,100/oz, reaching a record high.
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tim@emorningcoffee.com
Feb 279 min read
Berkshire Hathaway: 2023 results and the path forward
Berkshire Hathaway released its FY earnings on Sat. As always, there are plenty of juicy nuggets to digest.
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