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My view on what's going on in the financial markets and the global economy, and a few other things that might interest me from time to time.

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Week ended Sept 19, 2025: Fed cuts, stocks like it!
The Fed finally cuts the Fed Funds rate and moves to an easing path which shockingly (sarcasm), gave equity investors another reason to send stocks higher. Treasuries though said "meh", and yields even rose at the long end of the curve.

tim@emorningcoffee.com
Sep 213 min read
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Week ended Jan 10, 2025: markets under pressure
Stock and bond markets felt fragile all week. The US Dec jobs report caused investments to gap down in price to end a difficult week.

tim@emorningcoffee.com
Jan 115 min read
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Week ended March 1, 2024
More of the same, as risk-on sentiment pushes US equity markets to record highs. Bitcoin is soaring, too. Economic data remains supportive

tim@emorningcoffee.com
Mar 1, 20247 min read
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Week ended Feb 16th, 2024: economic data drives markets
US inflation for January was hot, pushing equities bond bonds lower. International equities performed better. UK and Japan in recession.

tim@emorningcoffee.com
Feb 17, 20245 min read
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Week ended Nov 3, 2023: stocks and bonds rally hard
Stocks and bonds were on fire this week, a rare occurrence recently. "Bad news is good news" resonated as data showed a slowing US economy

tim@emorningcoffee.com
Nov 4, 20236 min read
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Week ended Sept 8 2023: stocks and bonds sag (again)
Stocks and bonds sagged again this week, as overall sentiment remains fragile. Apple and corporate bond supply might have been culprits too

tim@emorningcoffee.com
Sep 10, 20234 min read
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The end of Silicon Valley Bank
Silicon Valley Bank went from fine to dead in less than 48 hours. Why and how? Could it have been prevented? What now?

tim@emorningcoffee.com
Mar 13, 202312 min read
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The Great Reveal
Since I write a lot about markets and macroeconomic topics, it is only fair that I talk about my own investment portfolio.

tim@emorningcoffee.com
Feb 23, 20237 min read
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My 2023 year-end guesses
The Street pros provide year-end 2023 projections for stocks and bonds, so why not EMC? Here are my guesstimates and rationales.

tim@emorningcoffee.com
Jan 5, 20233 min read
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