top of page
Home: Welcome
My view on what's going on in the financial markets and the global economy, and a few other things that might interest me from time to time.

Search


Week ended May 23, 2025: all eyes on US budget
All eyes have been on the 2025-26 US budget discussions in the House this week, with the "big beautiful bill" getting through (albeit barely) and heading to the Senate. Professional bond and currency investors are signalling concern, visible in higher UST yields and a weaker US Dollar.

tim@emorningcoffee.com
May 237 min read
22
0


Week ended Feb 14, 2025: markets slightly better
Inflation continues to confound, although investors largely shook it off. Market volatility remains elevated but stocks better WoW.

tim@emorningcoffee.com
Feb 154 min read
19
0


Week ended Jan 10, 2025: markets under pressure
Stock and bond markets felt fragile all week. The US Dec jobs report caused investments to gap down in price to end a difficult week.

tim@emorningcoffee.com
Jan 115 min read
22
0


Does the "Trump rally" have legs?
Some stocks that clearly "track" President-elect Trump's varied campaign promises have rallied hard, including TSLA, BTC, COIN and KRE.

tim@emorningcoffee.com
Nov 12, 20245 min read
24
1


Week ended October 4, 2024: soft landing in sight
Risk remains asymmetrical to the downside, but a robust US jobs report cheered risk investors on Friday and sent UST yields sharply higher.

tim@emorningcoffee.com
Oct 5, 20245 min read
18
0


Week ended June 7, 2024: US jobs surprise
Stocks and bonds were better on the week in spite of a strong May jobs report released Friday morning. Gold and oil weaker, USD stronger.

tim@emorningcoffee.com
Jun 8, 20246 min read
21
0


Deficits spiral, Congress disappoints
The decision-making ability of Congress is poor and getting worse, just as US deficits spiral higher and higher. Something needs to be done

tim@emorningcoffee.com
Oct 9, 20237 min read
75
2


The US debt ceiling debacle
The debt ceiling is front & centre as the date the US Treasury runs out of cash is drawing dangerously near. Here's my two cents, enjoy!

tim@emorningcoffee.com
Apr 24, 20237 min read
160
4


My 2023 year-end guesses
The Street pros provide year-end 2023 projections for stocks and bonds, so why not EMC? Here are my guesstimates and rationales.

tim@emorningcoffee.com
Jan 5, 20233 min read
96
0
Home: Blog2
bottom of page