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My view on what's going on in the financial markets and the global economy, and a few other things that might interest me from time to time.

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Week ended July 10, 2026: stocks and bonds diverge (again)
US stocks were mixed but tech continued to be the driver. US bonds did less well, as yields moved higher across the curve. Global stocks were generally weaker, as oil inched higher due to ongoing uncertainty in the Middle East with the Strait of Hormuz again the focal point.

tim@emorningcoffee.com
Jul 114 min read


Week ended June 13, 2025: inflation moderates, jobs remain solid
Inflation appears to be moderating, and the US jobs market remains resilient although perhaps showing some cracks. Mr Trump used the inflation data as a reason to justify "demanding that" the Fed slash the Fed Fund rate by 100bps. Trade policy continues to zigzag, with investors starting to mostly ignore the rhetoric coming from the administration. Stocks and bonds were better through Thursday, with gold higher and the greenback weaker. The Israeli bombing of Iran overnig

tim@emorningcoffee.com
Jun 13, 20255 min read


Week ended July 14, 2023: Investors party!
Stock and bond investors party hard, with equities ripping and US Treasury yields dropping sharply. A benign June CPI report was key driver

tim@emorningcoffee.com
Jul 15, 20233 min read


Week Ended November 26th, 2021
This week was all about Friday, as global equities were hammered after news of the new COVID variant. It was squarely risk-off in markets.

tim@emorningcoffee.com
Nov 27, 20217 min read
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