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My view on what's going on in the financial markets and the global economy, and a few other things that might interest me from time to time.

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Week ended August 29, 2025
Markets largely slid sideways in the usually quiet end of the month of August. There was news though, including the last of Mag 7earnings (NVDA), political turmoil in France, PCE for July, and th usual list of Trump matters.

tim@emorningcoffee.com
Aug 314 min read
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Week ended May 30, 2025: Trade war softens
This week had a double trade war "positive" for investors, excellent earnings, strong earnings and a favourable outlook from Nvidia, the 2025 Bitcoin conference in Las Vegas, the release of minutes from the last FOMC meeting, and a poor Japanese 40y bond auction.

tim@emorningcoffee.com
May 297 min read
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Mag 7 stocks: a tough 1Q2025 (and now "on sale"?)
This is a very brief update for the Mag 7 stocks for 1Q2025, all of which were down, several sharply. It is not getting better either!

tim@emorningcoffee.com
Apr 39 min read
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Week ended Feb 28, 2025: investors are "risk off"
Market volatility is increasing due to erratic US government policies. Bonds, gold, and foreign stocks are the place to hide.

tim@emorningcoffee.com
Mar 16 min read
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DeepSeek, ASML earnings, Mag 7 earnings and FOMC decision
DeepSeek wrecks outlook for AI companies; Mag 7 companies MSFT, META, TSLA and AAPL report earnings; FOMC expected to hold rates

tim@emorningcoffee.com
Jan 293 min read
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Week ended Nov 22, 2024: NVDA earnings, US retailers
Equities were better in the US and Europe. UST yields were marginally changed. Gold and Bitcoin soared to record highs. The Dollar was up

tim@emorningcoffee.com
Nov 23, 20246 min read
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Week ended October 18, 2024: more records
US stocks and gold hit more record highs. S&P 500 earnings mixed: banks strong, chip companies mixed, luxury struggles.

tim@emorningcoffee.com
Oct 19, 20245 min read
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Revisiting semi-conductors
This article takes a quick look at the semi-conductor value-chain, including chip designers, fabricators and chip machinery makers.

tim@emorningcoffee.com
Feb 20, 20245 min read
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S&P 500 1Q2023: Tech stars dominate (again)
Tech companies drove the 7% return of the S&P 500 in the 1Q23. Without the "magnificent seven", the index would have been flattish.

tim@emorningcoffee.com
Apr 5, 20234 min read
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