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My view on what's going on in the financial markets and the global economy, and a few other things that might interest me from time to time.

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Week ended November 21, 2025: risk assets battered
The weekly update covers NVDA's excellent earnings; the A.I. shine which is wearing off; the minutes from the last FOMC meeting (Oct); and the fall of Bitcoin.
tim@emorningcoffee.com
Nov 215 min read
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Week ended Nov 7, 2025: Dip, or beginning of the end?
There are no shortage of investors which think stocks are well over-baked, especially stocks of companies that are directly or indirectly associated with the ongoing A.I. hype. It has appeared for weeks that this was nothing more than scaremongering as stocks continued their stratospheric rise. However, the past week saw scepticism start to set in as investor concerns regarding valuations broadened. Tech stocks led the sell-off, although there were few places to hide as mo
tim@emorningcoffee.com
Nov 85 min read
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What might A.I. mean for investors?
I am not expert in artificial intelligence, although I do have a basic grasp of its expected benefits balanced by the possible social implications. However, this article focuses on A.I. from an investor's perspective, since the stocks of companies that can attach themselves even loosely to the A.I. narrative have taken off like a rocket.
tim@emorningcoffee.com
Oct 208 min read
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Week ended August 29, 2025
Markets largely slid sideways in the usually quiet end of the month of August. There was news though, including the last of Mag 7earnings (NVDA), political turmoil in France, PCE for July, and th usual list of Trump matters.
tim@emorningcoffee.com
Aug 314 min read
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Week ended May 30, 2025: Trade war softens
This week had a double trade war "positive" for investors, excellent earnings, strong earnings and a favourable outlook from Nvidia, the 2025 Bitcoin conference in Las Vegas, the release of minutes from the last FOMC meeting, and a poor Japanese 40y bond auction.
tim@emorningcoffee.com
May 297 min read
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Mag 7 stocks: a tough 1Q2025 (and now "on sale"?)
This is a very brief update for the Mag 7 stocks for 1Q2025, all of which were down, several sharply. It is not getting better either!
tim@emorningcoffee.com
Apr 39 min read
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Week ended Feb 28, 2025: investors are "risk off"
Market volatility is increasing due to erratic US government policies. Bonds, gold, and foreign stocks are the place to hide.
tim@emorningcoffee.com
Mar 16 min read
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Revisiting semi-conductors
This article takes a quick look at the semi-conductor value-chain, including chip designers, fabricators and chip machinery makers.
tim@emorningcoffee.com
Feb 20, 20245 min read
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S&P 500 1Q2023: Tech stars dominate (again)
Tech companies drove the 7% return of the S&P 500 in the 1Q23. Without the "magnificent seven", the index would have been flattish.
tim@emorningcoffee.com
Apr 5, 20234 min read
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