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My view on what's going on in the financial markets and the global economy, and a few other things that might interest me from time to time.

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Week ended October 23, 2026: stocks stumble, bonds rally
Stocks faltered as US Treasuries caught a safe haven bid. AI concerns continue to linger, negatively affecting stocks (and corporate bonds) associated with data centre build. Oil prices reached a six month high. FOMC decision is this coming week, mid-term elections are the following week. Investors are likely to remain on edge, and volatility will remain elevated.

tim@emorningcoffee.com
Oct 244 min read
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Week ended Sept 18, 2026: central banks deliver as expected
The Fed, Bank of England and Bank of Japan delivered monetary policy decisions largely as expected last week, soothing bond investors who remain concerned about the cost of government borrowing globally. Stocks were mostly weaker with the exception off Japanese equities and the NASDAQ.

tim@emorningcoffee.com
Sep 195 min read
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Week ended January 16 2026: global stocks gain, US stocks and bonds lose ground
Most U.S. stock indices were weaker WoW, except for the small/mid cap Russell 2000 which has strung together some amazing gains YtD (+7.9%). Other global equity indices were generally positive. USTs lost ground, and both gold and Bitcoin pushed higher. This all happened in a backdrop in which the U.S. president introduced a series of populist and interventionist proposals that are drifting wider and wider from Republican principals.

tim@emorningcoffee.com
Jan 173 min read
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