top of page
Home: Welcome
My view on what's going on in the financial markets and the global economy, and a few other things that might interest me from time to time.

Search


Week ended June 5, 2026: sell-off in tech shares drive indices lower
Tech shares came under pressure this week, with the sell-off gaining steam on Friday following a much stronger-than-expected US payrolls report. Yields moved higher across the curve, oil was higher, and Bitcoin faltered. Much of this was driven by higher inflation expectations and a lower likelihood that the Fed will cut rates in the foreseeable future.

tim@emorningcoffee.com
5 days ago5 min read


Week ended May 8, 2026: market remains constructive
I started penning this update with my recurring rant about the antics of the Trump Administration. The daily “war is over” rhetoric coming from the leader of the free world is super-annoying, especially since Iran and the U.S. remain more or less deadlocked, with the Strait of Hormuz closed and no oil flowing through it. But does this really matter anymore, at least to investors? Yes, higher oil prices are hurting consumers (see “Consumer confidence” below) and will rev

tim@emorningcoffee.com
May 96 min read


Week ended Dec 6, 2024: risk markets and USTs better, Bitcoin soars to record
Stocks reached more record highs in the US, but Asian and European stocks outperformed. UST yields slightly lower. Bitcoin soars to record

tim@emorningcoffee.com
Dec 7, 20247 min read


Week ended October 4, 2024: soft landing in sight
Risk remains asymmetrical to the downside, but a robust US jobs report cheered risk investors on Friday and sent UST yields sharply higher.

tim@emorningcoffee.com
Oct 5, 20245 min read


Week ended Sept 6, 2024: sentiment deteriorates
US Labor Day holiday marked the unofficial end of summer, and also a demarcation for risk sentiment. Bonds rallied and stocks got hammered.

tim@emorningcoffee.com
Sep 7, 20246 min read


Week ended June 7, 2024: US jobs surprise
Stocks and bonds were better on the week in spite of a strong May jobs report released Friday morning. Gold and oil weaker, USD stronger.

tim@emorningcoffee.com
Jun 8, 20246 min read


Week ended May 3, 2024
Earnings and economic data were all relatively to the liking of equity and bond investors alike, providing a boost for assets last week.

tim@emorningcoffee.com
May 4, 20245 min read


Week ended March 8, 2024: politics dominate landscape
Equities were mixed, UST yields were tighter across the curve. Politics garnered most attention this week, plus an ECB decision.

tim@emorningcoffee.com
Mar 8, 20247 min read


Jobs reports: are US jobs trending in the right direction?
This article is about jobs, more specifically, what is the key data? And what does the most recent data suggest about the future?

tim@emorningcoffee.com
Sep 7, 20237 min read
Home: Blog2
bottom of page