tim@emorningcoffee.comFeb 175 minWeek ended Feb 16th, 2024: economic data drives marketsUS inflation for January was hot, pushing equities bond bonds lower. International equities performed better. UK and Japan in recession.
tim@emorningcoffee.comJan 273 minWeek ended Jan 26, 2024: US data, China, Tesla, central bank decisionsLots of US economic data last week that pushed the S&P 500 to another record level. UST yields flattish. Chinese equities better. Read on
tim@emorningcoffee.comDec 7, 20238 minSpending your retirement savingsI wrote about portfolio allocation pre-retirement a few weeks ago. This article is about “sizing” your drawdowns after you retire.
tim@emorningcoffee.comSep 20, 20235 minGuns or butter?"Guns or butter" is a macroeconomic concept regarding govt budget allocation, but this article is about similar consumer decisions.
tim@emorningcoffee.comMay 30, 20233 minBIPs, RIPs and CHIPsGet ready for the next FOMC meeting and a market rip following the debt ceiling agreement. Want to better understand semiconductors?
tim@emorningcoffee.comMay 2, 20236 minDecisions, decisions, decisions: inflation and consumer preferencesHeadline inflation might be on the way down, but it is declining very slowly in the US and the EU, and remains in double-digits in the...
tim@emorningcoffee.comFeb 14, 20237 minStocks - do they always go up?Stocks do not always go up over shorter periods, but they do over longer periods. This article provides empirical support, see for yourself
tim@emorningcoffee.comMay 10, 202214 minThe Federal Reserve and the Decade of 2010-2020The decade 2010-20 involved a very hands-on approach by the Fed to steer the US economy out of a deep recession. What lessons can be learnt
tim@emorningcoffee.comOct 8, 20214 minAbout that transitory inflation........I continue to believe that inflation will be transitory, but supply-push inflation will cause inflation to be higher longer.